Not necessarily bad news? (Illustration: Michel Gaillard)
Not that anyone in Britain cares what the French think. As a matter of fact, even the French themselves don’t care that much. They have other ‘cats to whip’ as they say around here: social unrest, terrorist murders, drunk hooligans. There have been surprisingly little surveys in this normally poll-obsessed country, and while the British polls are quoted and analysed by some media, Le Monde recently simply shrugged their shoulders and drily noted that ‘In France, the Brexit provokes neither debate nor consensus‘. Others, like the financial monthly Capital, summarised the shoulder-shrugging differently: ‘Brexit? Not necessarily bad news!’.
In this context it is interesting to have a closer look at some data tables kindly provided by Céline Bracq and Gaël Sliman from the Odoxa polling institute. A poll they conducted earlier this spring for the daily newspaper Le Parisien highlights that a majority of French citizens would rather like the UK to remain in the European Union. The poll was very quickly and rather superficially quoted upon in the Financial Times, but did not seem to raise any eyebrows on the other side of the Channel. But then again: who cares in Britain what anybody else might think on the continent?
As could be expected, the data on the French attitude towards a potential Brexit reveal more about the French themselves than about the UK’s role in Europe. To no surprise they are deeply split both on UK membership, as they are on most EU matters.
One of the questions simply asked whether the Brexit referendum was ‘an important event for Europe’. It appears that the event is indeed considered important across all age groups (around 65%), but most of all among the over 65 years-old (79%). As for almost all things European, the higher the CSP or the revenues per household, the stronger the concern among respondents. More interestingly, although not too surprising for those who follow French attitudes towards Europe since the 2005 referendum, is the divergence between voters of traditional mainstream parties (they are over 80%, no matter left or right, to consider the event important) and those who find themselves close to the Front national or the extreme left-wing parties, where the scores are significantly lower.
The comparison with other European countries is also of interest. It appears that the French are less opposed to a Brexit than people in Italy, German or Spain (where between 65% and 76% of respondents declared themselves ‘favourable’ to British membership. In France only 54% have this attitude. It also seems that their patience is wearing out: in a similar poll in 2013, 58% of them were displeased with the prospect of a Brexit, today only 42% declare themselves ‘opposed’.
Finally, independently from the Brexit question, the poll also enquired about current attitudes toward the Euro. Bad news for the Front National: 68% of the French seem to be determined to keep the Euro. That’s a score that the ‘Remainers’ in a for the time being hypothetical ‘Frexit’ referendum would hardly achieve. Contradictory? Not in the French mind, it seems.
Albrecht Sonntag, EU-Asia Institute
at ESSCA School of Management.
Follow us on Twitter: @Essca_Eu_Asia
The post Brexit: what does France think? appeared first on Ideas on Europe.
Un peu de nouveau sur les quatre Hercules destinés à l'armée française. Je rappelle que le feu vert US à une FMS date de novembre (voir mon post ici) et que la vente porte sur 4 C-130 pour un montant de 650 millions de dollars (lire ici).
Le Pentagone a diffusé jeudi soir cet avis:
"Lockheed Martin Aeronautics, Marietta, Georgia, has been awarded a not-to-exceed $20,431,791 modification (P00579) to previously awarded contract FA8625-11-C-6597 for C-130J long lead items. Contractor will provide long-lead spares and support equipment in preparation for the procurement of four France C-130J aircraft. Work will be performed at Marietta, Georgia, and is expected to be complete by May 31, 2019. This contract is 100 percent foreign military sales for France. Air Force Life Cycle Management Center, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Ohio, is the contracting activity."
L'avis donne deux infos:
- une rallonge de la facture de 20,4 millions de dollars,
- une livraison avant mai 2019, date qui avait déjà été donnée par des sources françaises. Ainsi, le général de Saint-Quentin a précisé, lors de son audition du 1er juin (lire ici), que "l’arrivée des deux C-130J ravitailleurs en 2019 au sein de la composante transport de l’armée de l’air, conjuguée aux capacités de ravitaillement en vol du Caracal, offrira aux forces spéciales une allonge significative et de nouvelles capacités de pénétration prometteuses".
Serbie : l'autoroute des bonnes affaires pour l'entourage du Premier ministre Vučić
Chemin de fer Belgrade-Budapest : un train chinois à grande vitesse
Sarajevo Business Forum : « nous et les Chinois »
Grèce : Syriza brade ses promesses et le port du Pirée aux Chinois
Serbie : les noces chinoises des aciéries de Smederevo
Bulgarie : Bourgas, bientôt port d'entrée des smartphones et ordinateurs chinois en Europe
Serbie : l'autoroute des bonnes affaires pour l'entourage du Premier ministre Vučić
Chemin de fer Belgrade-Budapest : un train chinois à grande vitesse
Sarajevo Business Forum : « nous et les Chinois »
Grèce : Syriza brade ses promesses et le port du Pirée aux Chinois
Serbie : les noces chinoises des aciéries de Smederevo
Bulgarie : Bourgas, bientôt port d'entrée des smartphones et ordinateurs chinois en Europe
Place: European Convention Centre Luxembourg (ECCL)
Chair(s): Sharon Dijksma, the Dutch Minister for the Environment
All times are approximate and subject to change
+/- 08.30
Arrivals (live streaming)
+/- 09.25
Doorstep by Minister Dijksma
+/- 10.00
Beginning of the meeting (roundtable)
Adoption of agenda
Adoption of non-legislative A items
+/- 10.10
Emissions trading system (ETS) (public session)
+/- 11.50
Paris agreement (public session)
+/- 12.15
Air quality (NEC directive) (public session)
+/- 13.15
Any other business: emissions by cars and endocrine disruptors
+/- 15.30
EU action plan for circular economy (public session)
+/- 16.30
EU action plan against wildlife trafficking (public session)
+/- 16.55
Any other business
+/- 18.00
Press conference (live streaming)
“Which debt relief agreement are you talking about?”
If anyone had any doubts that Christine Lagarde, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund, doesn’t think much of the debt relief deal for Greece that was struck last month by the Eurogroup, these should have been firmly laid to rest by her comments at a press conference in Luxembourg on Thursday.
Asked about what she thought of the outcome of euro area finance ministers’ marathon meeting last month on Greece, which reached some tentative agreements on easing Athens’ massive debt burden, Ms Lagarde appeared to question whether it amounted to a meaningful breakthrough at all.
“Which debt relief agreement are you talking about?,” Lagarde said, before smiling conspiratorially. “I think you have my response in my question actually.”
The issue of debt relief has become central to the roll out of the €86bn euro area bailout of Greece that was agreed on by euro area leaders last summer. The IMF has refused to take part in the programme unless relief is granted, and has challenged what it says are over optimistic EU predictions for the recovery of the Greek economy.
Read morePlace: European Convention Centre Luxembourg (ECCL)
Chair: Federica Mogherini, High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy
All times are approximate and subject to change
from 08.00
Arrivals (live streaming)
+/- 09.20
Doorstep by High Representative Mogherini
+/- 09.30
Beginning of Foreign Affairs Council meeting (roundtable)
Adoption of the agenda
Adoption of A Items
+/- 09.35
The Arctic
The Sahel
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia
+/- 13.00
Working lunch on Middle East Peace Process
+/- 15.00
Visa liberalisation in the context of EU-Georgia relations
AOB
+/- 16:30
Press conference (live streaming)
17.30
Beginning of the meeting (roundtable)
(tbc) 19.30
Press conference (live streaming)
It’s a cliché, but time really does fly when you’re having fun. I arrived in Brussels last September, one of nine hopeful (and nervous) undergraduates embarking on a ten-month internship at FleishmanHillard. It’s been a year full of new experiences, big and small – everything from attending COP21 in Paris to getting lost (a little too often) in the corridors of the European Parliament. I’ve worked with some great people and learnt a lot about EU policy, public affairs and what it‘s like to live and work in the heart of the European project, Brussels.
My fellow interns and I are almost at the end of our time in Brussels, but for anyone considering doing a similar internship, here are five insights into the “Brussels Bubble” and EU public affairs to help you on your way.
By: Louise Olander
On 16 June, the European Parliament subcommittee on security and defence (SEDE) held an exchange of views on the EU-NATO capability development cooperation with Jorge Domecq, Chief Executive of the European Defence Agency, and General Denis Mercier, Supreme Allied Commander Transformation. The NATO-EU Capability Group was established in May 2003 to address common capability shortfalls and to ensure the coherence and mutual reinforcement of NATO and EU capability development efforts.
Jorge Domecq highlighted in his speech the partnership between the EU and NATO, “Twenty two EU Members are Allies. We need to ensure that the differences in membership do not become more significant than the similarities. There is a need to continue our close dialogue to ensure complementarity of work. Due to our single set of forces, we cannot afford unnecessary duplication – especially in the field of programmes.” Mr Domecq furthermore stressed the significant strategic overlap between the two organisations, especially regarding crisis management, conflict prevention and peacekeeping. However, while complementarity was important, the EU needed sufficient freedom of action in defence. “That is why EU Member States should support initiatives in EDA to support the development of capabilities to face the whole spectrum of challenges we face in the changing security environment, including the protection of EU citizens.”
General Mercier stressed in his intervention that cooperation between NATO and the EU was "no longer a question of choice, but a question of will", and continued, "I believe we have no other choice but to leverage the competencies of each organisation and make the most of limited resources." Regarding cooperation with the EDA, General Mercier noted that closer collaboration could bring tangible proposals: "I can assure you that ACT and EDA have already started working together and intend to deliver practical areas of cooperation in the coming months." General Mercier concluded his intervention considering "The collaboration of our two entities could also help synchronise national innovation efforts, including those developed in the United States, in order to keep the highest level of interoperability in the future."
More information: