Germany’s Green party has warned against radical Turkish nationalists in the country and suggested sanctions against Turkey in order to curb “Erdogan’s long arm”.
As reported by Deutsche Welle (DW), Germany’s international broadcaster, the party’s co-head, Cem Özdemir, said German politicians need to treat radical Turkish nationalist groups with the same caution as radical right-wing groups.
“There is, unfortunately, a form of Turkish PEGIDA in Germany that we must treat the same way as the group we already know of,” Cem Özdemir told the German newspaper Bild am Sonntag.
Özdemir told the newspaper that, in Germany, there was a consensus that German right-wing populists existed “on the margins of society and are not normal interlocutors”.
If PEGIDA leader Lutz Bachmann were invited to an event, no “self-respecting democrat” would attend, said the Green party chief, urging this kind of political attitude to be applied to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan‘s government representatives who are based in Germany.
Özdemir also said the EU should consider sanctions against Turkey if democracy and human rights “continue to be suspended”.
The EU has expressed concern over the imposition of a state of emergency in the wake of an attempted military coup.
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Cette recension est issue de Politique étrangère (2/2016). Aurélie Faure-Schyuer propose une analyse de l’ouvrage de Pierre-Noël Giraud et Timothée Ollivier, Économie des matières premières (Paris, La Découverte, 2015, 128 pages).
L’esprit des pionniers de la géologie, qui anima André Giraud et les fondateurs de l’économie des matières premières en France, inspire cet ouvrage. Après avoir rappelé la définition des « commodités » (commodities) et relaté les grandes étapes du développement des marchés de matières premières depuis la révolution industrielle, les auteurs retracent les fondements théoriques des sciences économiques appliquées au secteur des matières premières (principalement pétrole, cuivre, charbon et matières premières agricoles). Ils présentent les structures théoriques de formation de l’offre, comme celle de la demande, pour l’ensemble de ces matières puisées dans les ressources naturelles. Nombre d’éléments importants sont ici fournis, qui permettent de comprendre la sensibilité, ou l’élasticité, qui peut amener à des variations de l’offre ou de la demande, jusqu’à des « chocs » provoquant un effondrement ou une accélération haussière des prix (illustrés lors des chocs et contre-chocs pétroliers de 1973, 1987, 2007).
À travers la rareté des ressources, les contraintes techniques liées à la géologie, ou la possibilité de substitution future d’une matière première à une autre, se trouvent évoquées les interactions entre le monde de la géologie et celui du marché financier, principal apporteur de capitaux. Au début des années 2000, une association de géologues à l’origine de la théorie du peak oil, assurait que le rythme d’exploitation des ressources pétrolières nous amènerait à un « pic » de production pétrolière. Giraud et Ollivier pensent quant à eux que cette théorie de la rareté ne permet pas de prédire un horizon d’épuisement des réserves connues à un moment donné, compte tenu des facteurs à venir de substitution sur l’offre et des évolutions de la demande.
Deux enjeux liés au développement des marchés de matières premières sont finalement discutés. Le premier est le développement de la spéculation, dont les causes sont souvent attribuées aux acteurs intervenant sur les marchés de matières premières. On se souviendra des manipulations sur le cuivre ou l’électricité (Sumitomo en 1996 ou Enron en 2001), bien qu’elles ne soient pas évoquées dans l’ouvrage. Le second enjeu tient à la rareté des matières premières, à son impact sur les prix des denrées alimentaires et le développement économique, ainsi qu’aux limites des politiques climatiques visant à atténuer la production d’énergies fossiles émettrices de gaz à effets de serre.
Cet ouvrage a pour intérêt de définir les frontières des marchés de matières premières, et de rappeler les prérogatives essentielles de ces marchés, qui constituent un facteur d’ajustement des cycles économiques, un élément anticipatif et une source d’informations. Autant de connections à l’économie physique sous-jacente des matières premières.
Aurélie Faure-Schuyer
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An ambitious free trade deal between the United Kingdom and China is on the cards. Britain’s new finance minister has started discussions with China that could ease access for major Chinese banks and businesses to the UK economy.
In an interview with the BBC, Chancellor Philip Hammond said it was time to explore “new opportunities” across the world, including with China, one of the UK’s biggest inward investors. China invested over $5bn (£3.8bn) in the UK in 2014.
“What we now need to do is get on with it in a way that minimises the economic impact on the UK economy in the short term and maximises the benefit in the long-term,” Hammond said, admitting that there had been “global disappointment” about the Brexit vote.
Earlier this month, the Chinese state media reported that the Chinese ministry of commerce wants to do a UK free trade deal. Hammond has now revealed that Britain is also keen.
And in return for greater access to the UK for its manufactured products and investment, China would reduce barriers to Britain’s service industries like banking and insurance as well as UK goods, reported the BBC.
“The mood music that I have heard here is very much that this will mean more opportunity for countries like China that are outside the European Union to do business with Britain,” Hammond said at the end of a G20 summit in China. “And as Britain leaves the European Union and is not bound by the rules of the European Union perhaps it will be easier to do deals with Britain in the future.”
In a separate report, the Telegraph noted Hammond’s warning to European leaders. He said they must respond “positively” to Brexit negotiations or they will risk years of damaging economic uncertainty.
“I think what will start to reduce uncertainty is when we will set out more clearly the kind of arrangement we envisage going forward with the EU,” explained Hammond. “If our EU partners respond to such a vision positively, obviously it will be subject to negotiation, but positively, so that there is a sense later this year that we’re all on the same page where we expect to be going. I think that will send a reassuring signal to the business community and to markets.”
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Hüseyin Özgürgün, the leader of the Turkish-Cypriots is scheduled to visit Ankara to meet with Turkish Prime Minister Binali Yıldırım.
As reported by Famagusta Gazette, Turkey’s top envoy in the unrecognised Turkish-occupied state in northern part of Cyprus, Derya Kanbay, said that the break-away areas are not affected by the State of Emergency in Turkey, but media reports suggest a trustee will take over at three universities and two colleges “as a precaution”.
The FETO organisation, which is linked to cleric Fethullah Gulen, has been added to a list of terror organisations in the occupied territories of north Cyprus, he said. A special task force has also reportedly arrived in the north from Turkey to determine if the military in Cyprus have any links to the failed coup.
Turkey maintains more than 35,000 troops in the northern part of Cyprus.
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The offices have cleared, the traffic is calm, the sun is (supposed) to be out. Brussels is tranquil. But it belies a precarious week for the poor souls still left in town. There are still some delicate issues to deal with.
Italian banks are top of the list. Stress tests results will be released on Friday and a fix for the troubled Monte dei Paschi di Siena is still to be found. Matteo Renzi will be more fidgety than ever.
Germany and France are grappling with the aftermath of attacks – Germany faced an apparent suicide bombing last night, its fourth violent incident in a week – which are as unnerving as they are different.
Read moreIn an audio recording posted online, Al Qaeda chief Ayman al-Zawahiri has called on the global militant network to take Western hostages and exchange them for jailed jihadists.
The monitoring service SITE Intelligence Group quoted Zawahiri as saying that Westerners should be kidnapped “until they liberate the last Muslim male prisoner and last Muslim female prisoner in the prisons of the Crusaders, apostates, and enemies of Islam”.
As reported by the Reuters news agency, the authenticity of the recording cannot be verified. Zawahiri is believed to be seeking refuge in the Afghanistan-Pakistan border area that is the Taliban’s base.
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You can read here the article on citizens’ political choices in democratic societies , which was written by Professor George Pagoulatos. The commentary was published on 24 July 2016 in the Sunday edition of Kathimerini and is available in Greek.
Az az amerikai tábornok vezette a törökországi puccsot, aki korábban egy kórházat bombázott le Afganisztánban.
Following the failed coup in Turkey, Director General of ELIAMEP Dr Thanos Dokos discussed in Le Monde perspectives for Greek-Turkish relations. The article is available here (in Greek).