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Marcel Fratzscher: „Neues EZB-Inflationsziel ist kein Bruch mit der Bundesbank“

Die Europäische Zentralbank (EZB) hat sich im Rahmen einer neuen Strategie ein Inflationsziel von künftig zwei Prozent gesetzt. Dazu ein Statement von Marcel Fratzscher, Präsident des Deutschen Instituts für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW Berlin):

Mit ihrer neuen Strategie verschafft sich die Europäische Zentralbank mehr Spielraum, um in Zukunft noch flexibler agieren zu können. Anders als die US-amerikanische Notenbank verpflichtet sie sich nicht zu einer durchschnittlichen Inflation in Höhe von zwei Prozent, also nicht zur Kompensation einer schwachen Preisentwicklung durch eine deutlich höhere. Somit kann die EZB im Rahmen ihrer Geldpolitik in einigen Situationen stärker und in anderen schwächer reagieren. Gleichzeitig lässt die Strategie jedoch wichtige Fragen offen, beispielsweise wie groß und wie lange die EZB gewillt sein wird, Abweichungen der Preisentwicklung vom Zwei-Prozent-Ziel zu tolerieren. 

Die neue Strategie der EZB stellt keinen Bruch mit der Bundesbank dar, sondern steht in guter Tradition selbiger und deren erfolgreicher Fokussierung auf Preisstabilität. Die neue Strategie wird in den kommenden Jahren nichts Grundlegendes am geldpolitischen Kurs der EZB ändern, denn die Zinsen werden wohl auch die nächsten zwei oder drei Jahre nahe Null verbleiben. Die Veränderung der Strategie wird die Aufgabe der EZB nicht leichter machen, da sie die Inflationserwartungen und damit auch die realisierte Preisentwicklung nicht schneller an das Zwei-Prozent-Ziel heranbringen wird. Die EZB hat sich nicht von den Attacken und Drohungen aus Deutschland beeinflussen lassen, sondern wird auch in Zukunft Anleihekäufe und negative Zinsen als Instrumente nutzen, um ihrem Mandat der Preisstabilität gerecht werden zu können. 

Der Fokus der neuen EZB-Strategie auf den Schutz von Klima und Umwelt ist richtig und notwendig, auch wenn ein deutlich ambitionierterer Ansatz wünschenswert gewesen wäre.

Die globalisierte deutsche Wirtschaft: Im Wahlkampf vernachlässigt!

Zusammenfassung:

Die deutsche Wirtschaft ist stark globalisiert. Insofern hat Deutschland ein besonders großes Interesse an einer florierenden internationalen Wirtschaft, deren Zukunft jedoch aufgrund sich wandelnder Akteure und ihrer Rollen in Frage steht. In einem deutlichen Kontrast zur Bedeutung für den deutschen Wohlstand steht die Bedeutung des Themas in den Programmen der größeren Parteien zur Bundestagswahl 2021: Die Weltwirtschaft nimmt nicht viel Platz ein, angesprochen werden vorwiegend binnenwirtschaftliche Themen und Aussagen zu internationalen Abkommen bleiben unvollständig. Dabei wäre es für die WählerInnen wichtig zu wissen, welche langfristige Strategie Deutschland in der Weltwirtschaft verfolgen möchte.


G20 ministerial meetings: high-time for development and finance ministers to work hand in hand for a sustainable global recovery

On 29 June, G20 Ministers responsible for development policy convened for the first time under the Italian Presidency. The meeting saw the adoption of a detailed and ambitious policy communique that in addition to prompting international action is also expected to further inform the deliberations of other G20 ‘tracks’ that may affect developing countries. It seems particularly strategic to us that the meeting of Finance Ministers at the end of this week in Venice picks up and further develops on these commitments.

G20 ministerial meetings: high-time for development and finance ministers to work hand in hand for a sustainable global recovery

On 29 June, G20 Ministers responsible for development policy convened for the first time under the Italian Presidency. The meeting saw the adoption of a detailed and ambitious policy communique that in addition to prompting international action is also expected to further inform the deliberations of other G20 ‘tracks’ that may affect developing countries. It seems particularly strategic to us that the meeting of Finance Ministers at the end of this week in Venice picks up and further develops on these commitments.

G20 ministerial meetings: high-time for development and finance ministers to work hand in hand for a sustainable global recovery

On 29 June, G20 Ministers responsible for development policy convened for the first time under the Italian Presidency. The meeting saw the adoption of a detailed and ambitious policy communique that in addition to prompting international action is also expected to further inform the deliberations of other G20 ‘tracks’ that may affect developing countries. It seems particularly strategic to us that the meeting of Finance Ministers at the end of this week in Venice picks up and further develops on these commitments.

Optimising carbon taxation: tax energy sources, not sectors, and be consistent

Many governments consider carbon taxation an efficient tool to reduce carbon emissions, but it can negatively affect welfare in terms of emission reductions versus reductions in output. So, how can carbon taxes be best introduced? In a new study using evidence from Mexico, we show that when governments cannot select the most optimal policy –simply taxing some energy sources but not others – this may have substantial implications on how emissions and output, and eventually welfare, are affected.

Optimising carbon taxation: tax energy sources, not sectors, and be consistent

Many governments consider carbon taxation an efficient tool to reduce carbon emissions, but it can negatively affect welfare in terms of emission reductions versus reductions in output. So, how can carbon taxes be best introduced? In a new study using evidence from Mexico, we show that when governments cannot select the most optimal policy –simply taxing some energy sources but not others – this may have substantial implications on how emissions and output, and eventually welfare, are affected.

Optimising carbon taxation: tax energy sources, not sectors, and be consistent

Many governments consider carbon taxation an efficient tool to reduce carbon emissions, but it can negatively affect welfare in terms of emission reductions versus reductions in output. So, how can carbon taxes be best introduced? In a new study using evidence from Mexico, we show that when governments cannot select the most optimal policy –simply taxing some energy sources but not others – this may have substantial implications on how emissions and output, and eventually welfare, are affected.

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Das Team Informationstechnik der Abteilung Forschungsinfrastruktur gibt den Mitarbeitenden des DIW Berlin einen sicheren und stabilen Zugang zu modernen Informations- und Kommunikationstechnologien. Außerdem berät und unterstützt es die wissenschaftlichen Abteilungen bei der Auswahl und Einrichtung individueller Computer- und Softwarelösungen für Forschungsprojekte.

Gesucht wird zum nächstmöglichen Zeitpunkt ein/e

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A global review of ecological fiscal transfers

Ecological fiscal transfers (EFT) transfer public revenue between governments within a country based on ecological indicators. EFT can compensate subnational governments for the costs of conserving ecosystems and in principle can incentivize greater ecological conservation. We review established EFT in Brazil, Portugal, France, China and India, and emerging or proposed EFT in ten more countries. We analyse common themes related to EFT emergence, design and effects. EFT have grown rapidly from US$0.35 billion yr−1 in 2007 to US$23 billion yr−1 in 2020. We discuss the scope of opportunity to expand EFT to other countries by ‘greening’ intergovernmental fiscal transfers.

A global review of ecological fiscal transfers

Ecological fiscal transfers (EFT) transfer public revenue between governments within a country based on ecological indicators. EFT can compensate subnational governments for the costs of conserving ecosystems and in principle can incentivize greater ecological conservation. We review established EFT in Brazil, Portugal, France, China and India, and emerging or proposed EFT in ten more countries. We analyse common themes related to EFT emergence, design and effects. EFT have grown rapidly from US$0.35 billion yr−1 in 2007 to US$23 billion yr−1 in 2020. We discuss the scope of opportunity to expand EFT to other countries by ‘greening’ intergovernmental fiscal transfers.

A global review of ecological fiscal transfers

Ecological fiscal transfers (EFT) transfer public revenue between governments within a country based on ecological indicators. EFT can compensate subnational governments for the costs of conserving ecosystems and in principle can incentivize greater ecological conservation. We review established EFT in Brazil, Portugal, France, China and India, and emerging or proposed EFT in ten more countries. We analyse common themes related to EFT emergence, design and effects. EFT have grown rapidly from US$0.35 billion yr−1 in 2007 to US$23 billion yr−1 in 2020. We discuss the scope of opportunity to expand EFT to other countries by ‘greening’ intergovernmental fiscal transfers.

WTO reform: the role of the G20

Discussions on the reform of the World Trade Organization (WTO) have intensified over the last few years, and the often uncoordinated trade-policy responses to the Covid-19 pandemic further highlight the need to strengthen multilateral trade cooperation. The chapter discusses which roles the G20 can play in the increasingly dynamic and overlapping discussions on reform-ing the WTO – not least in the light of the fact that the group’s members have been actively submitting multiple proposals for WTO reform.

WTO reform: the role of the G20

Discussions on the reform of the World Trade Organization (WTO) have intensified over the last few years, and the often uncoordinated trade-policy responses to the Covid-19 pandemic further highlight the need to strengthen multilateral trade cooperation. The chapter discusses which roles the G20 can play in the increasingly dynamic and overlapping discussions on reform-ing the WTO – not least in the light of the fact that the group’s members have been actively submitting multiple proposals for WTO reform.

WTO reform: the role of the G20

Discussions on the reform of the World Trade Organization (WTO) have intensified over the last few years, and the often uncoordinated trade-policy responses to the Covid-19 pandemic further highlight the need to strengthen multilateral trade cooperation. The chapter discusses which roles the G20 can play in the increasingly dynamic and overlapping discussions on reform-ing the WTO – not least in the light of the fact that the group’s members have been actively submitting multiple proposals for WTO reform.

Projektmitarbeiter/in Teilzeit (9 h/Woche)

Die forschungsbasierte Infrastruktureinrichtung Sozio-oekonomisches Panel (SOEP) im DIW Berlin sucht zum nächstmöglichen Zeitpunkt eine/n

Projektmitarbeiter/in Teilzeit (9 h/Woche)

befristet bis zum 30.11.2021


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Die am DIW Berlin angesiedelte forschungsbasierte Infrastruktureinrichtung Sozio-oekonomisches Panel (SOEP) sucht zum nächstmöglichen Zeitpunkt eine/n

Systemadministrator (w/m/div) (Vollzeit)


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