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Cette question était au centre des VIe Assises nationales de la recherche stratégique il y a quelques jours à Paris, à l’initiative du Conseil supérieur de la formation et de la recherche stratégiques. Un sujet éminemment d’actualité : la guerre en Syrie et en Irak, le conflit en Centrafrique, la prise d’otages à Bamako il y a quelques jours, les attentats en Tunisie, l’appareil civil russe abattu au-dessus du Sinaï, les attentats en Turquie, ceux de Paris en janvier contre le journal satirique Charlie Hebdo et plus récemment le 13 novembre dans la capitale française et à Saint-Denis, en banlieue parisienne.

The first F-35 delivered outside the U.S. was taken on charge by the Italian Air Force. On Dec. 3, Lt. Gen. Pasquale Preziosa, Chief of the Italian Air Force, welcomed the first Italian F-35A at the F-35 Final Assembly and Check Out (FACO) facility at Cameri, in northwestern Italy. Not only is the AL-1 (as the […]

In England ist die Endstation der Pakistanischen Mafia, welche in Deutschland mit US und Deutschen Pass tätig ist, sich viele kleine Asiatische Imbiss Stuben kauften, anmieteten um z.B. in München so Anlauf Stellen haben, ebenso werden gezielt Frauen gefunden, welche Visa Garantien geben. Man hat viel Geld, Millionen werden in PR investiert in Nicht Toleranz Werbe Spots und Anti Rassimus Werbung der Schleuser-, Frauen Händler und Drogen Mafia.

 Lange bekannt: Der Krieg gegen den Terrorismus ist eine PR Erfindung des US Department of State, denn der Feind, den es nicht gibt, ist der beste Feind. Dann braucht man nur noch korrupte EU und NATO Politiker, welche den Unfug vermarkten. Published time: 4 Dec, 2015 11:48Edited time: 4 Dec, 2015 12:27 Experte über Türkei und IS: Russland hat „alles Übel“ offengelegt

 Die Nord-Atlantik-Terror-Organisation und der IS

 

Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation

Politik

16:44 04.12.2015(aktualisiert 16:50 04.12.2015) Zum Kurzlink Themen: Terrororganisation Daesh (33) 0322150 Pakistan verweigert Aufnahme von Abgeschobenen

Streit um Staatsangehörigkeit

Peter Mühlbauer

The Entire “War on Terror” Has Been a Lie – And These Charts Prove It By Rebecca Sumner Global Research, December 02, 2015 The Canary 28 November 2015 Theme: 9/11 & ‚War on Terrorism‘, Media Disinformation

We were told long ago that the “war on terror” would make the world a safer place. But after 14 years of permanent warfare, terrorist attacks around the world have escalated by a staggering 6,500%.

If its objective was to end terrorism, the “war on terror” has abjectly failed. Since it was launched in 2001, terror attacks – and the number of people killed by them – have sky-rocketed:

The above image comes from the Global Terrorism Index 2015, published by the Institute for Economics and Peace. The same index notes that 78% of all deaths from terrorism last year took place in just five countries: Iraq, Afghanistan, Nigeria, Pakistan and Syria.

1. Iraq

Iraq takes first place in the index, with a shocking 9,929 terrorist fatalities in 2014 – the highest ever recorded in any country. The chart below (based on figures from the index) clearly shows the surge in terrorist attacks in Iraq starting soon after the 2003 invasion:
2. Afghanistan

In second place is Afghanistan, which became the first target of the “war on terror” when Operation Enduring Freedom was launched a few weeks after 9/11. One of the aims of the operation was to stop Afghanistan from becoming a terrorist haven. Instead, the 14-year intervention has overseen an increase in terrorist incidents of more than 5,000%, from 30 in 2002 to 1591 in 2014:

3. Nigeria

With a year-on-year increase of more than 300% in terrorist fatalities, Nigeria comes third in the index. Together, Boko Haram and ISIL were responsible for just over half of all claimed global terrorism fatalities in 2014:

4. Pakistan

Pakistan has seen an increase in terror attacks of more than 4,000% since 2002. Mehdi Hasan notes that, in the 14 years before 9/11, there was just one suicide attack on Pakistani soil – in the 14 years since, there have been 486 suicide bombings, killing more than 6,000 people.

5. Syria

Syria’s civil war began in 2011, which is made clearly visible by the graph. What is not yet clear is whether – and how – the year of coalition air strikes will affect the numbers of terrorist incidents.

The war on terror creates more war – and more terror

Of the five countries experiencing the most terrorism last year, “only Nigeria did not experience either US air strikes or a military occupation in that year,” notes journalist Paul Gottinger in his analysis of global terrorism data.

In some cases, such as Iraq, it is widely acknowledged that Western intervention led to a surge in terrorism;British intelligence and US government reports have admitted as much (even Tony Blair came close to letting it slip), and al-Qaeda strategist Abu Musab Al-Suri has celebrated the results:

The war in Iraq almost single-handedly rescued the entire Jihadi movement.

Decades of failed Western interventions have caused extraordinary suffering to the people of Iraq, perhaps killing as many as 2.9 million people. As Mehdi Hasan points out in the New Statesman: “If bombing ‘worked’, Iraq would have morphed into a Scandinavia-style utopia long ago.” Instead, the country is in chaos – breaking records for terrorist activity while ever more foreign fighters flood into the country day-by-day.

In other cases, like Syria, the connection is less clear. What is accepted, even by American intelligence agencies is that, after the deaths of hundreds of civilians and thousands of fighters from coalition bombs, Daesh (Isis) is certainly no weaker now than it was a year ago; in fact, its fighter ranks may have swelled from 20,000-31,500 to at least 80,000 in the past year.

The Global Terrorism Index has done a statistical analysis and found two factors to be most closely associated with terrorism:

These are the levels of political violence committed by the state, and the level of armed conflict within a country. The report finds that […] 88% of all terrorist attacks between 1989 and 2014 occurred in countries that were experiencing or involved in violent conflicts.

If there’s one thing the “war on terror” has excelled at, it is creating more war – and if there is a second, it is creating more terror.

On Thursday, David Cameron set out his ‘moral case’ for launching British airstrikes in Syria, claiming they will “make us safer”. But it is abundantly clear that the war on terror has not made us safer. If defeating terrorism is the aim, then we need to start fighting for creation, not destruction.

Featured image via The US Army/Flickr. 

First chart via the Global Terrorism Index 2015, the Institute for Economics and Peace.

Subsequent charts by the author, based on data from the Global Terrorism Index 2015.

 http://www.globalresearch.ca/the-entire-war-on-terror-has-been-a-lie-and-these-charts-prove-it/5492783

With Ethiopia battling its worst drought in 30 years due to the El Niño weather pattern, with 8.2 million people already in urgent need of food aid, the United Nations has sent an emergency health team to help support the Government’s response to a crisis that is expected to become even worse over the next eight months.

Az uniós belügyminiszterek tanácsülésén szóba sem került, hogy le akarnák választani a közép-európai államokat a Schengen-zónáról.

Schengen szétdarabolása helyett a schengeni övezet egységének megőrzése mellett tettek hitet pénteken az EU 28 tagállamának belügyminiszterei. Ettől még fennáll a veszély, hogy tavasszal egyes országok az uniós szabályok adta kereteken kívül próbálják majd meg fenntartani az átmenetinek szént belső határellenőrzéseket.

More than 4,000 people have fled to a remote region of eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) due to recent fighting between local groups, known as the ‘Arrow Boys’ and the South Sudanese Army in the Western Equatoria region of South Sudan, the United Nations refugee agency said today.

AUVERGNE-RHÔNE-ALPES - Le député LR a réussi l'union de la droite et du centre dès le premier tour. Le report des voix sera l'un des enjeux de l'entre-deux-tours.

Vendredi, le président s'est affiché en «chef de guerre», avec un déplacement surprise sur le Charles-de-Gaulle. Fort d'une popularité dopée, il veut tenter «d'enjamber» la défaite annoncée pour le PS.

NORD-PAS-DE-CALAIS-PICARDIE - La présidente du Front national est créditée de 40 % d'intentions de vote. Xavier Bertrand (LR) et Pierre de Saintignon (PS) refusent, pour l'instant, une fusion de leurs listes au second tour.

CENTRE-VAL DE LOIRE - Le président du groupe UDI à l'Assemblée semble en pole position pour ravir la région aux socialistes. Mais l'issue du scrutin pourrait être plus incertaine que prévu.

Le premier tour des régionales permettra de mesurer les équilibres entre le PS à la peine, la droite qui rêve de revanche et le FN en conquête. Un test majeur à 16 mois de l'élection présidentielle.

Yesterday, the Danes voted no in their latest EU referendum on whether or not to change the current situation, where Denmark is not participating in the Justice and Home Affairs (JHA) cooperation in the EU. It was rejected!

But let’s start with a little bit of background. A referendum on the ‘justice-opt-out’ has been planned for a while now. The opt-out, along with 3 others, was created as a response to the Danes initially rejecting the Maastricht Treaty in 1992. However, the justice opt-out became much more relevant with the Lisbon Treaty, in which the JHA pillar is set to move to the supranational level, a level at which the Danes legally can’t participate while their opt-out is active. So consequentially, six pro-EU parties agreed to take the matter to the ballots and negotiated for an ‘opt-in’ solution, which includes that the Danish Parliament would be able to choose which JHA policies to negotiate about and join on a case-by-case basis. They identified 22 justice policies (including Europol) that Denmark would have joined immediately, and guaranteed they would hold another referendum in case they wanted to join a common asylum framework in the future.

Confused? So were the Danes. The debate leading up to yesterday’s vote was arguably more about explaining the content of the complicated proposal, and the outcome is more a reflection of rising Euroscepticism and dissatisfaction with the established political parties, rather than a response to the actual content of the referendum. Despite the fact that the Danes are one of the most pro-EU countries in Europe, the “Yes” parties failed to make the population understand why an ever closer Union is needed in order to preserve EU benefits Danes are already enjoying. But combined with the EU being perceived – not only by Danes – to be in complete disarray (particularly its justice framework) over the ongoing refugee crisis and its consequences, the referendum was never going to be as safe as the “Yes” campaign had hoped.

Now, why do we care about the Danes voting to continue their status quo? While the referendum has gone more or less unnoticed in Brussels with the Brussels bubble waking up to Copenhagen’s intentions only in the past week, and a lack of comments from any EU official on the referendum, it is rather difficult to predict. Still, we can and should start thinking about what implications it will have for other, more high-profile EU topics.

For one, there is Europol! The parallel-agreement Denmark will likely have to negotiate on Europol will certainly be interesting to follow. No other EU member state has a similar agreement on any policy so essential to the functioning of a borderless Europe, and the result will likely help us understand what a potential two-speed Europe could effectively look like. The model could even set a precedent for how potential future opt-outs by Eurosceptic member states are handled. Most importantly, however, the Danish the vote comes at a time where people are expecting more integration on the justice front, not less, in particular amid talks of a “European FBI” and increased information-sharing is demanded for security reasons. Thus the Danish “No” could arguably not have come at a worse time.

The Danish government needs a solution to being left out of Europol fast in order to show that they haven’t completely lost the ability to act in the European arena. However, their European partners might feel less urgency; on the one hand, no one wants to be seen to be heavy-handed with the Danes or to not be respecting democracy. On the other hand, there is little appetite for rewarding bad behavior, so the other capitalso are likely to “hurry up slowly” during the negotiations. The content and pace of the negotiations will however not be decided by the Danes and their partners’ ability to come to a compromise, but rather will be decided by the impact it may have on much more important issues and debates, such as Brexit. After all, whether the Danes decide to move from a small reluctant player in JHA to not playing at all is unlikely to matter much for the rest of EU, nor indeed for the essential progress on key security challenges.

From a Brussels perspective, there is an important link between yesterday’s referendum and the British referendum, as the Danish “No” is likely to be picked up by the British “out” advocates. Former Labour Europe Minister Denis MacShane predicts that out voices will “praise the freedom loving Danes who dare say no to more European integration”. Furthermore, the “out” side will be very interested in Brussels’ response to the Danish vote. If Brussels gives the Danes a custom solution that is perceived to benefit Denmark, it is very likely that the British “out” campaigns will use it to show to the British public that a national can in fact easily reap the benefits of the EU while opting out in parts of the Union. Hence for those decision-makers who would like to avoid a Brexit, it is essential to convince their electorate of why the European Union has to be ever closer, whilst also making sure the debate doesn’t stray from discussion about the concrete benefits of staying in the EU and into vague and Eurosceptic territory – something that the Danish politicians seemed to have failed to do.

The trouble for Brits, however, is the Danes might just have made it a lot more difficult for them…

by Martin Bresson and Malte Helligsøe

Les Républicains, qui espéraient une vague bleue, sont les premières victimes de la poussée du Front national.

CORSE - Le candidat nationaliste Gilles Simeoni pourrait arriver en tête au premier tour. 12 listes sont en lice.

C'était la priorité absolue des Européens pour renforcer leur lutte contre le terrorisme. Pour mieux contrôler les déplacements des personnes surveillées ou recherchées, un PNR - un fichier des passagers des compagnies aériennes - devrait finalement voir le jour. Un compromis a été trouvé entre le Conseil des ministres de l'Intérieur, le Parlement européen et la Commission. Un compromis qui fut difficile à obtenir : il est le fruit de quatre années de négociations.

BOURGOGNE-FRANCHE-COMTÉ - Les listes UDI-LR, PS et FN sont au coude-à-coude au second tour en cas de triangulaire, selon les sondages. L'attitude du MoDem pourrait être décisive.

NORMANDIE - La liste conduite par Hervé Morin semblait avoir toutes les chances de l'emporter. Mais la progression du FN depuis les attentats du 13 novembre a changé la donne.