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Diplomacy & Crisis News

How Realistic is Vingroup’s $61 Billion High Speed Rail Plan?

TheDiplomat - Tue, 27/05/2025 - 06:24
The Vietnamese conglomerate has a history of throwing itself into ambitious projects for which it has little or no previous experience.

Indonesia Announces Record Drug Seizure Off Sumatra Coast

TheDiplomat - Tue, 27/05/2025 - 06:00
Jakarta's anti-drug agency linked the 2-ton meth seizure to a syndicate in the Golden Triangle, which has seen a spike in narcotics production over the past decade.

The Case for a Pacific Defense Pact

Foreign Affairs - Tue, 27/05/2025 - 06:00
America needs a new Asian alliance to counter China.

Can Syria Recover?

Foreign Affairs - Tue, 27/05/2025 - 06:00
Sanctions relief is not enough.

Boeing Deal With DOJ Proves That ‘Justice’ Is a Slippery Concept

TheDiplomat - Tue, 27/05/2025 - 03:29
189 people lost their lives when Lion Air flight 610 crashed into the Java Sea, 13 minutes after taking off from Jakarta's Soekarno–Hatta International Airport.

Malaysia’s Anwar Seeks Trump’s Support for ASEAN-US Tariff Summit

TheDiplomat - Tue, 27/05/2025 - 03:18
Opening yesterday's 46th ASEAN Summit, the Malaysian leader also hailed the “significant” progress in efforts to end the civil war in Myanmar.

A Visit by Japanese Parliamentarians to China

TheDiplomat - Tue, 27/05/2025 - 02:20
And what it reveals of current China-Japan relations.

The New Measure

Foreign Policy Blogs - Mon, 26/05/2025 - 20:00

India’s French Made Rafale is one of the most advanced fighter jets in their region.

The recent bouts of battles between India and Pakistan comes at a time where many other parts of the world are in conflict, and many suspect that conflict will extend East towards Asia. While it is difficult to get precise information on details of the active battlefield between the two countries, the defense establishment in many parts of the world are watching with great interest on the developments of their systems in actual combat.

India’s and Pakistan’s Air Forces are an interesting mix of different planes and systems from various parts of the world. Pakistan uses US military equipment like the F-16, and is heavily invested with China in developing many weapons systems against Indian interests. China and Pakistan’s joint fighter program of the JF-17 has likely seen combat in the latest row with India, a program meant to solidify both Pakistan’s and China’s combined security push against India. While other weapons systems have followed this joint program, they are usually based around ground vehicles and tanks, with the JF-17 being a jointly produced and advanced small fighter plane.

What has been the focus of a great deal of interest is the use of the Chinese made J-10 fighter jet by Pakistan. The J-10 is one of the more advanced Chinese fighter jets in the region, albeit one that never had been used in actual combat. Paired with the J-10 is the new long range PL-15 missile, a modern system that can theoretically out range most similar NATO missiles. Claims that the J-10 had been very successful in countering advanced Indian Air Force fighters often come with the claim that long range PL-15 missiles played a major role in their success.

India’s Air Force has one of the most diverse and capable fleets in the region. India’s close ties with Soviet and Russian technology has equipped India with some of the most advanced Russian technology, despite India being a strong Western ally. Often produced via license in India, systems like the T-90 tank and SU-30 keep India supplied with advanced weapons systems. The purchase of French aircraft like the Mirage 2000 and Rafale give India some of the most capable technology worldwide in securing their territory.

Claims that a J-10 shot down at least one Rafale is one of the most notable claims made during the start of the war, with both sides trying to demonstrate their strengths using the narrative of the lost or survived Rafale. In reality, new technology battles involve long range targeting of enemy aircraft using BVR, Beyond Visual Range radars and missiles. Evading new missile technology is difficult for any aircraft that can be picked up on long range radar, and it could be the case that the side with the most missiles will often dominate the airspace. The point of interest from NATO allies seems to be whether or not the French Mirage 2000 and Rafale has a radar and missile combination that can best China’s new J-10 with the PL-15 missile, or if China’s new weapons are as advanced and as capable as they claim them to be?

China’s weapons programs often came with licensing and taken Western and Soviet technologies that were seen as technologically behind those of their counterparts. Many Chinese weapons systems were officially licensed from France, like their HQ-7 Crotale missile system, or taken from Russian samples like China’s J-11 fighter, a copy of Russia’s SU-27. Even recent Chinese made fighters like the J-10 often depended on Russian made engines and equipment, limiting China’s ability to sell its equipment abroad due to Russian licensing controls on weapon parts. With the J-10 demonstrating any victory over their Western or Russian counterparts, China would be able to finally develop its foreign weapons sales past its traditional allies and establish a serious international presence outside of its region.

The air battles between India and Pakistan were different than air to air conflict in Ukraine as much of the Russian and Ukrainian long range fighter systems have been grounded, or dedicated to launching long range air to surface munitions as opposed to engaging other enemy aircraft. With the F-16 and now Mirage 2000 being present in Ukraine, it is still difficult to see how successful they would be against Russia’s air force in direct combat. The reality of the air war in Ukraine is that both Ukraine and Russia have flooded the airspace with advanced anti-aircraft systems and radars, and flying too far into the combat zone would guarantee being targeted. While India is covered by S-400 systems, and Pakistan is using an S-300 copy/licensed HQ-9 Chinese system, their air war looks a lot more like ones from years ago when anti-air systems were not as deadly as they are post-2020. The interest in the advancement of China’s technology will play into battle simulations as the long range missile and radar is the king of air combat, and will determine whether or not an attack is viable.

Mongolia’s Youth Protests Lead to Political Shenanigans

TheDiplomat - Mon, 26/05/2025 - 19:49
Various political factions are attempting to seize the advantage amid organic protests seeking the prime minister's ouster.

Chine : « Je suis la dernière génération »

Le Monde Diplomatique - Mon, 26/05/2025 - 19:12
Personne ne connaît la date exacte de l'enregistrement de cette vidéo, ni son auteur, mais cela ne l'empêche pas d'avoir balayé l'empire du Milieu comme un tourbillon. Tous les médias et blogs retiennent la date où elle a commencé à circuler follement sur les réseaux sociaux : le 11 mai 2022. Dans (...) / , , , , - 2023/01

Touche pas à mon nombril

Le Monde Diplomatique - Mon, 26/05/2025 - 18:25
Jusqu'ici, tout allait bien. Et puis M. Elon Musk a commis l'irréparable : le jeudi 15 décembre dernier, l'homme qui avait racheté Twitter pour 44 milliards de dollars afin, jurait-il, d'y restaurer la liberté d'expression, a temporairement suspendu les comptes personnels de neuf journalistes (...) / , , , , - 2023/01

Cette Chine qui pense en marge des discours officiels

Le Monde Diplomatique - Mon, 26/05/2025 - 17:12
Contrairement aux clichés qui réduisent la Chine à un bloc monolithique, la population bouge et les intellectuels pensent. Les manifestations contre les confinements ont fait reculer les dirigeants. Auparavant, des débats avaient agité les chercheurs sur cette question et plus fondamentalement sur (...) / , , , , , , , , - 2023/01

En Chine, de l'isolement autoritaire à l'autoconfinement

Le Monde Diplomatique - Mon, 26/05/2025 - 16:21
Opérant un de ces virages dont la Chine a le secret, le président Xi Jinping a tiré un trait sur sa politique zéro Covid. En moins de quarante-huit heures, les barrières bloquant les quartiers ou les cités ont été levées ; les cabines de tests PCR, démontées ; les points de contrôle sur les routes, (...) / , , , , - 2023/01

Propositions pour une sortie de crise

Le Monde Diplomatique - Mon, 26/05/2025 - 15:12
Les appels à la négociation d'un accord de paix en Ukraine se sont récemment multipliés, même aux États-Unis. Le général américain Mark A. Milley, président du Comité des chefs d'état-major interarmées, s'y est ainsi prêté début novembre 2022 . Le professeur Charles A. Kupchan, membre de l'influent think tank (...) / , , , - 2023/01

Why Donald Trump Must Engage the Taliban

TheDiplomat - Mon, 26/05/2025 - 14:48
However, a Taliban-only arrangement will merely replicate the exclusionary cycles that have doomed past peace efforts

Why Did Bangladesh’s Interim Advisor Yunus Threaten to Resign?

TheDiplomat - Mon, 26/05/2025 - 14:41
Differences between political parties on issues like elections seem to be hampering the functioning of the interim government.

Nepal Continues to Fail Victims of the Maoist Insurgency

TheDiplomat - Mon, 26/05/2025 - 12:28
Transitional justice, the last leg of the peace process, will remain incomplete unless the victims have adequate say in the process.

Trump’s Greenland Obsession Will Not Secure America

Foreign Policy - Mon, 26/05/2025 - 11:01
Countering Russia and China in the Arctic requires leveraging alliances, not fracturing them.

Timor-Leste Could Gain ASEAN Membership Later This Year, Malaysian FM Says

TheDiplomat - Mon, 26/05/2025 - 07:38
The young nation has yet to fulfill a considerable number of legal requirements, suggesting that a later timeline might be more realistic.

Turkish Guns Are Taking Over the U.S. Market

Foreign Policy - Mon, 26/05/2025 - 07:00
They’re cheap, popular, and spreading beyond borders.

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