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Les combattants rebelles et les troupes rwandaises sont accusés d'avoir commis des atrocités après avoir pris le contrôle de la ville d'Uvira, en République démocratique du Congo, en décembre.

Ino Afentouli, Senior Policy Advisor; Head of the Observatory of Geopolitics and Diplomacy, ELIAMEP

The Xi–Trump summit brings together two vastly different personalities who serve as the primary architects of their countries’ strategic policies. The first, a scion of the Party elite, embodies the Chinese perception of the ‘Middle Kingdom’—of China as the realm between heaven and earth. In this view, China does not need to keep pace with time; instead, time is seen as an asset that works in its favour. Trump, by contrast, is operating on a far more constrained timeline, with only two years remaining of his presidency. His penchant for taking decisions on his own often leads to choices detrimental to his country’s interests, as evidenced by the course of the war in Iran. There can be no doubt that the Chinese leadership has taken note of the mistakes the US has made in its handling of the crisis.

Trump’s personality makes it more likely that the US, rather than China, will fall into the so-called Thucydides Trap. As an ascending power, and true to its strategic tradition of defeating an opponent without engaging in battle, China has the luxury of patience. This is something Trump’s America lacks. The US has to preserve the hegemony it has constructed over eight decades, underpinned by its strategic partnerships across Europe and Asia. But Trump is allergic to alliances; under his presidency, the US risks forfeiting the strategic added value that has enabled American primacy in both continents.

China’s approach to establishing spheres of influence, not only within its own periphery but also on a broader international scale, will be crucial to the emerging balance of power. Chinese strategy over recent decades has prioritized economic penetration as a primary vehicle for exerting political influence. During his 15 years in power, Xi has combined economic power with military might. Huge investments have been made in the armed forces; furthermore, the recent purges—which effectively decapitated virtually the entire military high command—underscore that establishing military primacy remains among his highest strategic priorities. Will this primacy be projected defensively or offensively? The answer to this question will determine the global equilibrium in the years ahead. Xi could exploit the vulnerabilities in Trump’s character, manoeuvring him towards Thucydides’ trap. Possessing strategic patience, Xi is capable of ensnaring Trump in the logic of war through actions that do not jeopardize China’s own security. In this light, the debacle in Iran assumes far greater proportions for the US than a mere military failure. One can only hope the Chinese leader does not pursue such a course while Trump is in office.

Eleni Ekmetsioglou, Non-Resident Fellow, ELIAMEP; Senior Fellow, British American Security Information Council (BASIC)

The Xi-Trump meeting happens at a very unfavorable moment for the US. As many analysts have argued, with the US trapped in the Middle East, China seems to have the upper hand on most of the agenda items. Whereas tariffs, technology and probably Taiwan will dominate the discussions, it  might, nevertheless, be the right moment for the US to try and press on other -equally important and highly consequential- issues such as nuclear risk reduction measures. Given that US pundits and official intelligence reports make ominous speculations about the future trajectory of China’s nuclear arsenal, it is in US interests to push for an institutionalized track 1 dialogue for both parties to work towards a better mutual understanding on nuclear issues that might lead to tangible risk reduction measures such as the establishment of a formal missile launch notification regime, for instance. With the quantitative increase in China’s nuclear arsenal, the US has been feeling that its current nuclear modernization might not be fit for purpose in a world with two peer competitors, Russia and China. After the expiration of the New Start treaty last February, the US is not bound by restrictions over the numbers of its deployed warheads. With both countries investing in their nuclear arsenals for quantitative and qualitative improvements, the nuclear component inevitably plays a bigger role in the relationship creating a dangerous dynamic where even a minor crisis between the two powers will have the potential of turning into a nuclear crisis with unprecedented consequences for the region and the whole planet. The Biden administration scored a major success when the two parties agreed to always include a human in the loop for nuclear decision making. AI and nuclear command and control was the low hanging fruit for the Biden administration but it could mark a great starting point towards a more diverse dialogue on precise risk reduction measures in order to  boost crisis stability between the two countries. Hopefully, the Trump administration will be prepared to press Xi on this deeply consequential aspect of the bilateral relationship and continue the positive trend that the Biden administration kicked off in San Francisco back in 2023. 

George Tzogopoulos, Senior Research Fellow, ELIAMEP; European Institute of Nice, Centre international de formation européenne (CIFE)

Understanding China remains an extremely complex undertaking in the West. For instance, while US think tanks and media assess that President Trump will not hold the upper hand in his meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping, Beijing does not operate within this Western paradigm. From a Chinese perspective, it matters little where the White House is occupied by Donald Trump, Joe Biden or anyone else. The web of Sino-American relations is so intricate that a single summit—regardless of its gravity—cannot be expected to yield a definitive breakthrough. China predicates its success on its own strategic choices, negotiating only to secure a measure of relative stability in its relations with Washington. While stability serves the interests of both nations, the path forward is arduous—a reality consistent with historical precedent. Although Sino-American competition is set to intensify, it remains within the power of both states to mitigate the risk of catastrophic consequences. The United States will remain the sole superpower, yet China—as the world’s second-largest economy—will command an amplified voice in global economic and geopolitical affairs. It is this very dynamic that is causing tremors in the international system, as the United States is forced to adapt to a reality far removed from the unipolar era it enjoyed for two decades following the Cold War.

Dimitris Tsarouhas, Senior Research Fellow, ELIAMEP; Professor, Center for European and Transatlantic Studies (CEUTS) at Virginia Tech

Measured tones and muted expectations

In a normal political and economic climate, a meeting between a US President and his Chinese counterpart would be front-page news here in Washington, sparking a deluge of analysis aimed at gauging Beijing’s intentions. However, the current climate is anything but normal—at least for Donald Trump.

With inflation hitting 3.8%, its highest level in nearly three years, the gap between the President’s campaign promises and the economic reality has reignited public frustration with the administration’s fiscal direction. Pledges to shield Americans from an unstable global environment are being belied on the ground. Not only is the US embroiled in yet another conflict in the Middle East at great economic and political cost, the administration’s tariff regime—aimed largely at Chinese imports—is also faltering amidst judicial scrutiny and bureaucratic deadlock.

Against this backdrop, the shift since their last October 2025 summit could not be clearer: it is now President Xi who holds the stronger hand (to echo Trump’s infamous remark to his Ukrainian counterpart). Even as the US is being forced into a de facto capitulation in its undeclared—yet very real—trade war with China, Beijing continues to dictate the terms of the broader geopolitical game. It does so by imposing unilateral export restrictions on its rare earth minerals and by bolstering the Russian war machine on the Ukrainian front. And while the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz undoubtedly burdens the Chinese economy as well, officials in Beijing remain optimistic. They anticipate that their recurring tactic—promising multi-billion-dollar commodity purchases—will appease President Trump and pave the way for ‘constructive’ talks. In practice, this means negotiations that bypass the core of Chinese ambitions: namely, the status of Taiwan and the subjugation of neighbouring states’ rights in the South China Sea, where Beijing continues to assert a unilateral right of intervention. Against this backdrop, Washington harbours few illusions regarding the outcome of this meeting—and rightfully so.

Rights groups say ASEAN and the international community must have direct access to Aung San Suu Kyi.

The state’s woes are of its own making. Since independence, successive governments implemented policies that repelled foreign investment.

The European Parliament plays an important role in advancing gender equality in the European Union. Through resolutions, legislative work and political scrutiny, it has called for stronger action in areas including violence against women, equal pay, online abuse, representation in decision-making, and women’s rights in conflict settings.

In its November 2025 resolution, Parliament called on the Commission to propose adding gender-based violence to the list of EU crimes.

Parliament urged action to prevent online gender-based violence across EU digital policies and to hold platforms accountable for propagating sexist content (November 2025, February 2023). Parliament called for misogyny to be explicitly included in the definition of hate speech and hate crime at EU level (January 2024).

Parliament has also called on the Commission to address AI-related threats through education, digital literacy and research into online misogyny and radicalisation (November 2025). Ahead of the 70th UN Commission on the Status of Women, it also highlighted the need for a deeper understanding of anti-gender movements, the ‘incel’ phenomenon and the ‘manosphere’, and for more active policies to counter these narratives (February 2026).

On employment, Parliament has called for the timely implementation of the Pay Transparency Directive, the Women on Boards Directive and the Work-Life Balance Directive. It demanded measures to reduce the gender employment gap and urged the Commission to promote women’s entry to, and retention within, the labour market (November 2025).

In March 2026, Parliament called on the Commission to present an action plan to eliminate gender pay and pension gaps, with a focus on fair pay and working conditions in sectors dominated by women, such as healthcare and education. Parliament also called for investments under the next EU long-term budget to strengthen work-life balance for women and ensure a reliable care sector.

Parliament has addressed gender equality in sport and culture. In an October 2025 resolution on the European sport model, it called on all stakeholders to advance gender equality in sport, combat violence, discrimination and harassment, and address the under-representation of women in sports governing bodies.

Within its own institution, Parliament has also taken steps on gender equality. In November 2025, Parliament initiated the legislative process to amend the EU Electoral Act. Under the proposed rules, a Member of the European Parliament who is pregnant or has recently given birth may delegate her plenary vote to another Member for up to three months before the estimated date of birth and six months after childbirth. This change requires the agreement of all EU countries in the Council before it can enter into force.

Furthermore, the European Parliament Committee on Women’s Rights and Gender Equality (FEMM) organises an annual gender equality week and various events to mark International Women’s Day on 8 March.

Parliament has repeatedly called for women’s full participation in peace and security decision-making and for consistent EU financing of initiatives that promote women in leadership roles and combat sexual violence in conflict settings (April 2025, May 2025, July 2025). It repeatedly condemned rape and sexual violence in Russia’s attack on Ukraine (February 2023, February 2026) and drew attention to widespread sexual violence and child rape in the conflict in Sudan (March 2025).

Parliament has called for a new gender action plan post-2027 with a gender-sensitive approach to humanitarian aid (January 2026). It also stated that EU defence policies should reflect gender equality and diversity, promoting inclusive military environments with equal opportunities regardless of gender or background (April 2025).

Keep sending your questions to the Citizens’ Enquiries Unit (Ask EP)! We will reply in the EU language in which you write to us.

Farmers in Bangladesh. Credit: Heifer International
 
As conflict in the Middle East disrupts critical fuel and fertilizer supply routes, smallholder farmers across Asia are once again caught in the crossfire of global shocks. This piece argues that repeated crises are exposing a deeper structural flaw in agri-food systems—Overdependence on External Inputs. It presents a compelling case for regenerative agriculture as a pathway to resilient food systems in Asia.

By Neena Joshi
UTTAR PRADESH, India, May 15 2026 (IPS)

The latest shock to global food systems, triggered by conflict in the Middle East and disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, has once again exposed a fragile truth: the world’s food systems remain highly vulnerable to external shocks.

For Asia, especially South Asia, where agriculture underpins millions of livelihoods, the consequences are immediate and severe. Rising fuel prices, supply chain disruptions, and limited access to fertilizers are pushing already fragile systems to the brink.

The Strait of Hormuz is not just a geopolitical chokepoint; it is a lifeline for fuel and agricultural inputs across Asia. A significant share of fertilizers and their raw materials, including natural gas, transit through or originate from this route.

For countries such as India, Bangladesh, and Nepal, where agriculture employs between 38 and over 60 percent of the workforce, this dependency creates systemic risk. When supply chains falter, the effects cascade quickly: input costs rise, planting cycles are disrupted, and farmer incomes shrink.

Solar panels installed in a farm in Bangladesh. Credit: Heifer International

Even if shipping routes reopen, recovery will be slow

Damage to energy infrastructure and continued geopolitical uncertainty mean price volatility and supply constraints can persist for months. For smallholder farmers, this creates a dual crisis. Exporting produce becomes difficult due to logistical bottlenecks, while fuel shortages hamper domestic distribution. At the same time, the next cropping cycle looms, with essential fertilizers either unavailable or unaffordable.

This is not an isolated disruption. From the COVID-19 pandemic to the war in Ukraine, global shocks are becoming more frequent and interconnected. Each crisis compounds the last, pushing smallholder farmers, the backbone of global food production, into deeper uncertainty. The question is no longer whether disruptions will occur, but how prepared our systems are to withstand them.

At the heart of the problem is overdependence on external, input-intensive systems, chemical fertilizers, fossil fuels, and long, fragile supply chains. Reducing this dependence is central to building resilience.

Regenerative Agriculture and Renewable Energy Offer a Compelling Pathway Forward.

At its core, regenerative agriculture restores soil health, enhances biodiversity, improves water retention, and reduces reliance on synthetic inputs. Practices such as crop diversification, organic soil enrichment, reduced tillage, and integrated pest management shift farming from an extractive to a restorative model.

By rebuilding natural soil fertility, these approaches reduce dependence on external inputs. Instead of relying heavily on urea in rice cultivation, regenerative systems promote nutrient cycling and biological nitrogen fixation through legumes, alongside the use of compost and manure to strengthen soil organic matter and ensure a steady, natural nutrient supply.

Integrating renewable energy further strengthens resilience. Solar-powered irrigation replaces fuel-based inputs with clean, reliable energy, lowering operational costs and improving water-use efficiency—especially critical during periods of disruption.

The evidence base for these approaches is both growing and compelling. In Bangladesh, multiple studies show that solar irrigation consistently outperforms diesel systems, delivering higher returns, improving food security, and reducing irrigation costs by 20–50 percent, while significantly boosting profitability (Rana, 2021; Buisson, 2024; Sunny, 2023; Sarker, 2025).

Research also shows that bio-based inputs like compost, biochar, and green manure can partially replace synthetic fertilizers, often without yield loss, while improving soil health (Naher, 2021; Ferdous, 2023; Behera, 2025).

Regenerative Agriculture is Not Just an Environmental Solution—It is an Economic One

By reducing dependence on volatile external inputs such as chemical fertilizers and fossil fuels, regenerative agriculture shields farmers from global price shocks while improving long-term productivity and profits.

Emerging evidence from Nepal and India reinforces this trend: while yields generally remain stable, reduced input costs significantly increase farm profitability (Magar, 2022; Dhakal, 2022; Berger, 2025).

A broader analysis by the Observer Research Foundation (2025) finds that although yields may dip slightly during transition, most cases report higher yields over time, alongside improved income stability driven by lower input dependence.

Similar trends are being observed globally, reinforcing that regenerative approaches can deliver both resilience and profitability across diverse farming systems (link).

Importantly, these outcomes are already visible on the ground in South Asia. Through programs led by Heifer International, smallholder farmers are adopting regenerative and climate-smart practices that reduce costs, improve yields, and strengthen resilience.

In Bangladesh’s Jashore district, for instance, women farmers organized into cooperatives have reduced irrigation costs, improved productivity, and strengthened market access through solar irrigation, organic soil management, and collective action.

As one farmer, Shirin Akter, shares: “Adopting climate-smart practices and pooling resources through my cooperative allowed me to grow diverse crops. When drought hit, I still had harvests to sell, and my cooperative helped me recover quickly.”

For farmers like Shirin, these shifts are transformative, turning vulnerability into resilience through diversified systems, lower input dependence, and stronger collective support. Similar models in Nepal show how regenerative, community-based approaches can reduce resource pressure while improving incomes.

Scaling this Transition Requires Action Beyond the Farm

To transition to a resilient and sustainable food system, a multi-stakeholder approach is essential. Policymakers should realign incentives to support sustainable practices and reduce dependence on imported inputs. Financial institutions and insurers should recognize the lower risk profiles of regenerative systems.

Businesses must embed sustainability into core decisions, prioritizing sourcing from farmers adopting regenerative practices and building longer-term, stable supply relationships. At the same time, marketing teams can shape consumer demand by communicating the value of sustainably produced food. Together, these shifts can align supply chains and markets in support of more resilient food systems.

The stakes are high. The World Food Programme warns that roughly 45 million more people could be pushed into hunger if current disruptions persist, adding to the 318 million people already food insecure.

We cannot continue rebuilding fragile food systems after every shock. We must redesign them. Regenerative agriculture offers a pathway to reduce dependence on volatile external inputs, restore ecological balance, and build resilience where it matters most—at the farm level.

To replenish what has been used up is not just an environmental necessity—it is the foundation of more secure, equitable, and resilient food systems across Asia.

Neena Joshi is the Senior Vice President for Asia Programs at Heifer International. With over 20 years of experience, she leads initiatives to build inclusive, sustainable agrifood systems and empower smallholder farmers, especially women and youth, across Asia.

IPS UN Bureau

 

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The post Strategic Communications and UN Peacekeeping Transitions appeared first on International Peace Institute.

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