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Diplomacy & Defense Think Tank News

A Most Irregular Army

SWP - lun, 30/11/2020 - 00:00
The Rise of Khalifa Haftar’s Libyan Arab Armed Forces

Glyphosate : Emmanuel Macron s’en remet à l’Europe

Fondapol / Général - ven, 27/11/2020 - 15:05

Empêtré dans sa promesse intenable d’interdire l’herbicide d’ici 2021, le président renvoie la question au niveau européen. Fuite en avant ou capitulation ? La manœuvre devait être arrêtée vendredi matin, au cours d’une réunion organisée en marge du conseil de défense écologique, à l’Élysée, en présence de parlementaires et des ministres concernés. Alors que l’exécutif […]

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Glyphosate, le bon grain et l’ivraie

Fondapol / Général - jeu, 26/11/2020 - 19:59

Le glyphosate a longtemps été un herbicide considéré comme sans risque inacceptable pour la santé. En 2015, son classement « probablement cancérogène » par le Centre international de recherche sur le cancer (CIRC, en anglais International Agency for Research on Cancer-IARC) a changé la donne et, en 2017, l’Union européenne n’a renouvelé son autorisation que […]

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Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework

Long-term global scenarios have underpinned research and assessment of global environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change research community has developed a scenario framework combining alternative futures of climate and society to facilitate integrated research and consistent assessment to inform policy. Here we assess how well this framework is working and what challenges it faces. We synthesize insights from scenario-based literature, community discussions and recent experience in assessments, concluding that the framework has been widely adopted across research communities and is largely meeting immediate needs. However, some mixed successes and a changing policy and research landscape present key challenges, and we recommend several new directions for the development and use of this framework.

Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework

Long-term global scenarios have underpinned research and assessment of global environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change research community has developed a scenario framework combining alternative futures of climate and society to facilitate integrated research and consistent assessment to inform policy. Here we assess how well this framework is working and what challenges it faces. We synthesize insights from scenario-based literature, community discussions and recent experience in assessments, concluding that the framework has been widely adopted across research communities and is largely meeting immediate needs. However, some mixed successes and a changing policy and research landscape present key challenges, and we recommend several new directions for the development and use of this framework.

Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework

Long-term global scenarios have underpinned research and assessment of global environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change research community has developed a scenario framework combining alternative futures of climate and society to facilitate integrated research and consistent assessment to inform policy. Here we assess how well this framework is working and what challenges it faces. We synthesize insights from scenario-based literature, community discussions and recent experience in assessments, concluding that the framework has been widely adopted across research communities and is largely meeting immediate needs. However, some mixed successes and a changing policy and research landscape present key challenges, and we recommend several new directions for the development and use of this framework.

Des lendemains qui déchantent ? Ce que la France attend de la présidence Biden

Institut Montaigne - jeu, 26/11/2020 - 09:44

Donald Trump devrait manquer à peu de monde en France. Si l’on en croit un sondage du Pew Research Center de janvier dernier, seulement 20 % de la population française fait confiance au Président américain, moins qu’au Royaume-Uni (32 %) mais plus qu’en Allemagne (13 %), et si les efforts importants réalisés par le Président Emmanuel Macron afin de séduire son homologue américain ont fourni des rencontres mémorables, ils ont aussi le plus souvent…

Agricultura inclusiva y sostenible en Costa Rica: un sello para promover el comercio solidario

Compared to other Latin American countries, Costa Rica has good indicators of economic growth and social development. Historically, it has managed to combine inward growth with intelligent use of the options offered by international markets. In recent decades, the country has undergone a strong structural change, with new export activities generating well-paying jobs and accelerated urbanization. While this has allowed for solid economic growth rates, it has also meant an increase in social inequality and greater territorial disparities. A considerable part of the population living in Costa Rica's rural areas feels decoupled from the dynamics and has lost confidence in the political system. This puts the country's governance in jeopardy.
The document proposes a seal for the country's family agriculture as an instrument for promoting social and territorial cohesion. A seal that highlights the peasant origin of agricultural and agroindustrial products can enable producers to compete with imported products and ensure attractive sales channels with good prices. It can also have an important symbolic value, transmitting the message of solidarity and shared identity between the urban population and rural areas. In order for producers to perceive positive changes in the near future, several sales channels should be served simultaneously, namely supermarkets, hotels, restaurants, e-commerce and tourism. The certification process should be robust and at the same time simple, to avoid delays and high costs.

Agricultura inclusiva y sostenible en Costa Rica: un sello para promover el comercio solidario

Compared to other Latin American countries, Costa Rica has good indicators of economic growth and social development. Historically, it has managed to combine inward growth with intelligent use of the options offered by international markets. In recent decades, the country has undergone a strong structural change, with new export activities generating well-paying jobs and accelerated urbanization. While this has allowed for solid economic growth rates, it has also meant an increase in social inequality and greater territorial disparities. A considerable part of the population living in Costa Rica's rural areas feels decoupled from the dynamics and has lost confidence in the political system. This puts the country's governance in jeopardy.
The document proposes a seal for the country's family agriculture as an instrument for promoting social and territorial cohesion. A seal that highlights the peasant origin of agricultural and agroindustrial products can enable producers to compete with imported products and ensure attractive sales channels with good prices. It can also have an important symbolic value, transmitting the message of solidarity and shared identity between the urban population and rural areas. In order for producers to perceive positive changes in the near future, several sales channels should be served simultaneously, namely supermarkets, hotels, restaurants, e-commerce and tourism. The certification process should be robust and at the same time simple, to avoid delays and high costs.

Agricultura inclusiva y sostenible en Costa Rica: un sello para promover el comercio solidario

Compared to other Latin American countries, Costa Rica has good indicators of economic growth and social development. Historically, it has managed to combine inward growth with intelligent use of the options offered by international markets. In recent decades, the country has undergone a strong structural change, with new export activities generating well-paying jobs and accelerated urbanization. While this has allowed for solid economic growth rates, it has also meant an increase in social inequality and greater territorial disparities. A considerable part of the population living in Costa Rica's rural areas feels decoupled from the dynamics and has lost confidence in the political system. This puts the country's governance in jeopardy.
The document proposes a seal for the country's family agriculture as an instrument for promoting social and territorial cohesion. A seal that highlights the peasant origin of agricultural and agroindustrial products can enable producers to compete with imported products and ensure attractive sales channels with good prices. It can also have an important symbolic value, transmitting the message of solidarity and shared identity between the urban population and rural areas. In order for producers to perceive positive changes in the near future, several sales channels should be served simultaneously, namely supermarkets, hotels, restaurants, e-commerce and tourism. The certification process should be robust and at the same time simple, to avoid delays and high costs.

España en el sistema multilateral de ayuda

Real Instituto Elcano - jeu, 26/11/2020 - 09:00
Iliana Olivié, Emma Carrasco y María Moreno. DT 23/2020 - 26/11/2020

En términos generales, y coincidiendo con trabajos previos sobre la ayuda multilateral de la cooperación española, se observa una débil correspondencia entre los fines estratégicos declarados y el patrón de asignación de la ayuda y un comportamiento cambiante de los flujos de ayuda. Asimismo, las importantes transformaciones de los últimos años en el contexto internacional requieren de una reflexión en profundidad acerca del papel de España en el sistema multilateral de ayuda.

Russia’s Arctic Strategy through 2035

SWP - jeu, 26/11/2020 - 00:10

Russia has adopted a development strategy for the Arctic for the period from October 2020 to 2035. Reflecting hopes and perceived threats associated with the successive warm­ing of the Arctic, it aims to advance development of the region’s abundant re­sources, first and foremost oil and gas, and improve living conditions for the popu­lation. In the longer term, the Kremlin hopes to establish the Northern Sea Route as a new global shipping artery. Moscow also worries that an increasingly ice-free Arctic could create new territorial vulnerabilities in its Far North, and is responding by re­building its military presence there. Finally, Moscow also wants to preserve the region’s ecological balance. The indications are, however, that the interests of the energy sec­tor and the military will be served, while funding to improve environmental protections and living conditions will remain inadequate.

The Hong Kong National Security Law

SWP - jeu, 26/11/2020 - 00:00

The Law of the People’s Republic of China on Safeguarding National Security in the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (Security Law) highlights the shortcomings of the 1984 Sino-British Joint Declaration and the inherent conflicts of the “one coun­try, two systems” principle. The arrangement has always been full of contradictions and grey areas. With the Security Law, the Chinese leadership has created facts on the ground. The move comes at the expense of civil liberties and accelerates the spread of socialist legal concepts in Hong Kong. But, on this issue, Beijing is not isolated in­ter­nation­ally. On the contrary, it is supported by economically dependent states in its assess­ment of the Security Law as an internal affair. China’s ambition to gain inter­nation­al discourse power in legal matters is strategically embedded in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Beijing’s course of action in Hong Kong serves as a test balloon in this endeavour. Decision-makers in Germany and Europe are still not sufficiently aware of the problems concerning Chinese legal concepts. More expertise is urgently needed.

Pourquoi l’utopie du revenu universel resurgit face à la crise

Fondapol / Général - mer, 25/11/2020 - 14:55

ANALYSE – Pour innovant qu’il paraisse, le revenu universel ressemble plutôt à un continuum dans le débat intellectuel, traversant cinq siècles et présentant plusieurs ramifications idéologiques. Thomas More sourirait-il devant les débats politiques de la France en crise ? Cinq cents ans après la publication de son ouvrage L’Utopie, dans lequel l’humaniste anglais imaginait une […]

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Un Président et une nation face au virus : de la vision à l’exécution

Institut Montaigne - mer, 25/11/2020 - 10:47

Un mois après le début du reconfinement, et comme il l’avait annoncé, le président de la République s’est à nouveau adressé aux Français, le mardi 24 novembre, pour faire le point sur la crise pandémique et donner des perspectives au pays, alors que les fêtes de fin d’année approchent, et que les tensions politiques et sociales s’aiguisent. L’adresse présidentielle a permis de clarifier le cap fixé collectivement à la nation pour tenir face à la pandémie,…

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