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Diplomacy & Crisis News

Si la rivalité sino-américaine tournait mal

 

What if? (5) Si la rivalité sino-américaine tournait mal». La chronique de Frédéric Charillon Frédéric Charillon  23 février 2021 à 12h45

« De part et d’autre du Pacifique se trouvent des faucons qui rêvent d’en découdre. Même sans imaginer de confrontation militaire, les terrains du rapport de force s’accumulent »


      

« Jusqu’ici tout va bien », pour reprendre le leitmotiv du film La Haine. L’Amérique de Joe Biden adopte une posture plus prévisible et un ton plus modéré que l’administration Trump face à Pékin. La Chine n’a pas intérêt à une confrontation avec des Etats-Unis toujours surpuissants. Donald Trump, tout en multipliant les pommes de discordes (Huawei, TikTok, tarifs douaniers…), n’a jamais coupé les ponts. Avec la nomination dans la nouvelle équipe diplomatique de quelques connaisseurs de la Chine déterminés à en contenir la montée en puissance (Ely RatnerKathleen HicksMira Rapp-HooperMelanie Hart), Joe Biden s’inscrit dans un consensus national bipartisan, mais insiste davantage sur la compétition que sur la confrontation. La trajectoire des deux grands rivaux reste donc sous contrôle. Les choses pourraient toutefois s’envenimer.

En premier lieu, un choc frontal n’est pas à exclure : si une montée préméditée aux extrêmes est peu probable, les occasions de dérapage ne manquent pas. Plus vraisemblable, l’augmentation des tensions indirectes qui, accumulées, finiraient par instaurer un climat de guerre froide aux inévitables conséquences économiques. Dans les deux cas l’Europe se retrouverait en position difficile, sans moyen de se distancier de la protection américaine, ni de résister aux tentations économiques chinoises.

Risques de choc frontal
Lire la suite dans L'Opinion

UNICEF urges repatriation of all children in Syria’s Al-Hol camp following deadly fire

UN News Centre - dim, 28/02/2021 - 19:43
The UN Children’s Fund (UNICEF) on Sunday urged all countries to repatriate and safely reintegrate their young nationals being held at Syria’s largest camp for refugees and internally-displaced, following a deadly weekend fire at Al-Hol camp which saw at least three children die, and another 15 injured.

Petits secrets entre amis à Sciences Po

Le Monde Diplomatique - dim, 28/02/2021 - 19:35
Accusé d'inceste, le politologue Olivier Duhamel est subitement passé de la lumière à l'ombre. Habitué des cérémonies officielles et des plateaux de télévision, il y est devenu persona non grata. À Sciences Po, certains connaissaient pourtant l'affaire depuis plusieurs années, et ils continuaient de (...) / , , , , , - 2021/03

Myanmar: UN condemns escalating violence in deadliest day of protests so far

UN News Centre - dim, 28/02/2021 - 16:09
In response to the killing of at least 18 protesters demonstrating against Myanmar’s military coup, the UN human rights office (OHCHR) on Sunday together with the UN chief, strongly condemned the “escalating violence” and called for an immediate end to the use of force.

The Last Fishermen of Kashmir

Foreign Policy - dim, 28/02/2021 - 12:00
Once teeming lakes are fast disappearing and with them, a lucrative career for tens of thousands of people in the region.

FROM THE FIELD: Adapting to survive and thrive in Ghana

UN News Centre - dim, 28/02/2021 - 11:05
In the West African country of Ghana, many people from farming backgrounds are forced to find new ways to survive, as droughts, floods and erratic weather patterns upend age-old agricultural practices.

First Person: Yemen ‘cannot even afford to worry about the coronavirus’

UN News Centre - dim, 28/02/2021 - 06:05
In Yemen, whose people are living through a long-running, brutal war, which has led to the world’s worst humanitarian crisis, COVID-19 is far from being a top priority, says the top UN refugee agency (UNHCR) official in the Arabian Peninsula country.

Alexeï Navalny, prophète en son pays<small class="fine"> </small>?

Le Monde Diplomatique - sam, 27/02/2021 - 19:29
Victime d'une tentative d'empoisonnement, l'opposant russe Alexeï Navalny se trouve aujourd'hui derrière les barreaux. Tout en appelant à sa libération, les chancelleries occidentales préparent l'adoption de nouvelles sanctions. Si le Kremlin n'entend rien céder aux pressions internationales, qu'il (...) / , , , , , , - 2021/03

Oscar-Shortlisted Film Puts Bosnian Genocide on Silver Screen

Foreign Policy - sam, 27/02/2021 - 12:10
“Quo Vadis, Aida?” could do for the Srebrenica massacre what “Schindler’s List” accomplished for the Holocaust.

FROM THE FIELD: Humanitarian crises of concern in 2021

UN News Centre - sam, 27/02/2021 - 06:25
The COVID-19 pandemic has dominated much of the world’s attention over the last 12 months, but many other crises will continue to require the urgent attention of the UN and the international community in 2021.

Biden’s Syria Strikes Fuel New Debate on War Powers

Foreign Policy - ven, 26/02/2021 - 23:44
Democrats in Congress signaled they were uneasy with the move and are demanding answers from the White House.

UN chief returns to the Bronx for second coronavirus shot

UN News Centre - ven, 26/02/2021 - 23:38
UN Secretary-General António Guterres  received his second COVID-19 vaccine shot at the Morris Academy for Collaborative Studies in the Bronx,  New York, on Friday. 

UN Security Council demands COVID-19 vaccine ceasefires; WHO pushes for more action to speed up inoculations

UN News Centre - ven, 26/02/2021 - 23:24
The UN Security Council on Friday unanimously passed a resolution calling on all Member States to support a “sustained humanitarian pause” to local conflicts, in order to allow for COVID-19 vaccinations. Briefing journalists afterwards, World Health Organization (WHO) chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus argued that more could be done. 

Palestinian elections raise hopes for two-State solution, Middle East Coordinator tells Security Council

UN News Centre - ven, 26/02/2021 - 23:01
The holding of free and fair elections in the Occupied Palestinian Territory will help “clear the path” for restoring a legitimate political horizon to realize a long sought two-State solution, the leading UN diplomat for the region told the Security Council on Friday.

Pandemic pushing people ‘even further behind’, UN rights chief warns

UN News Centre - ven, 26/02/2021 - 22:09
As the COVID-19 pandemic gathers pace, people worldwide are “being left behind – or pushed even further behind”, the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights warned on Friday. 

Biden’s Plan to Lead From Alongside

Foreign Policy - ven, 26/02/2021 - 21:37
The new U.S. president believes in the legitimacy of American power. Does the rest of the world?

The Human Cost of Endless Pandemic Border Closures

Foreign Policy - ven, 26/02/2021 - 21:28
One year after the world declared borders shut, there is still no plan to reduce the toll on millions of lives.

Who Is Hot and Who Is Not in the Middle East

Foreign Policy - ven, 26/02/2021 - 21:08
The Biden administration wants to downgrade the region. Here are the countries he can ignore—and the ones he can’t.

Report: Saudi Crown Prince Approved Khashoggi Operation

Foreign Policy - ven, 26/02/2021 - 20:56
A long-awaited intelligence report comes as Biden reassesses the United States’ relationship with Saudi Arabia.

In Kolkata, Only a Few Lions Are Still Dancing

Foreign Policy - ven, 26/02/2021 - 20:56
A 2-century-old Indian Chinese community is threatened by tensions between the two countries.

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