Lee Jae-myung’s ascent—from factory floors to South Korea’s presidency, carried aloft by the Democratic Party—has been marketed as a parable of grit, resilience, and populist authenticity. Yet governing under a shadow of unresolved criminal allegations, Lee now presides over a far starker transformation: the long-term degradation of democratic restraint through the consolidation of coercive state power. Even where convictions were overturned or cases remain pending, the scandals themselves—Daejang-district profiteering, politically convenient rezoning deals, and illicit remittances linked to North Korea—continue to cling like exhaust fumes that never quite dissipate. Under the banner of “reform,” the prosecutorial system was dismantled and replaced by a swollen police apparatus that concentrates authority over major crimes, intelligence gathering, and institutional oversight units—an architecture that trades legal contestation for administrative command. Revived police intelligence units, cosmetically rebranded but structurally familiar, resurrected the habits of political surveillance without restoring the external checks that once constrained them. This is not the democratization of justice so much as a classically illiberal power swap: authority shifted from a visible, litigable institution to a sprawling police bureaucracy insulated by discretion and scale. In the long run, such hypertrophy corrodes democratic development itself, normalizing surveillance as governance and substituting managerial control for popular accountability. South Korea’s old prosecutorial monopoly has been exchanged for a mega-police—accountable upward, politicized downward—an arrangement not merely convenient for a presidency under a permanent cloud, but actively hostile to the patient, adversarial checks on which durable democracy depends.
Lee Jae-myung holds four confirmed prior convictions—all resulting in fines—that together sketch an early and revealing pattern of ethically dubious, ends-justify-means conduct. In the early 2000s, he impersonated a prosecutor in order to secretly record and intimidate the mayor of Seongnam City during a corruption investigation; when confronted, he escalated by filing false charges, ultimately earning convictions for simulating public authority and perjury, compounded by violating a confidentiality pledge when he publicized the recording. Earlier still, as a political activist in the 1990s, Lee led a violent occupation of the Seongnam City Council over an ordinance dispute, obstructing official proceedings and physically injuring three councilors—injuries lasting two to three weeks—for which he was fined five million won. These pre-office episodes—abuse of authority, betrayal of trust, and willingness to deploy physical coercion—take on added significance when viewed alongside unresolved mega-cases rooted in municipal governance: the Daejang-dong public–private development project in Seongnam City (roughly $375 million in public losses tied to preferential treatment for private developers, with close aides already convicted), the Baekhyeon-dong rezoning scandal involving alleged breach of trust and illicit lobbying, accusations of embezzlement through Gyeonggi Province funds, and approximately $8 million in illegal remittances to North Korea. The absence of jail time and the lack of post-inauguration verdicts as of February 2026 have not softened these critiques; they have sharpened them, reinforcing the view that Lee is a serial opportunist whose early methods have merely scaled up alongside his power.
From Criminal Exposure to Police Expansion, South Korea Moves Toward a Surveillance State
It is within this context—not abstraction—that Lee’s signature institutional project must be judged. Branded as “prosecutorial reform,” his government did not merely curb an overmighty legal caste. It dismantled the prosecutorial system altogether, formally abolishing prosecutors’ investigative authority by October 2026 and transferring its core functions to the police. What replaced the so-called “prosecutor republic” was not a diffusion of power, but its consolidation—this time in uniform.
The centerpiece of this shift is the Heavy Crime Investigation Headquarters (hereafter Jungsubon). By 2026, Jungsubon had expanded to more than 6,400 officers, absorbing over 1,600 new hires in a single year. Its jurisdiction now spans the “nine major crimes”: corruption, economic crime, public officials, elections, defense, disasters, drugs, national security, and cybercrime—virtually the entire domain once monopolized by prosecutors. Budgets and manpower increased by roughly 30 percent in tandem, while oversight mechanisms lagged behind. The police, unlike prosecutors, operate without an external indictment authority or a genuinely independent supervisory body. Power moved laterally, not downward.
The internal dynamics of this expansion are equally revealing. In 2026 alone, 1,214 officers were reassigned from riot control units into Jungsubon divisions focused on phishing, narcotics, and financial crime. Applications for detective posts surged by 2.2 times amid public hype surrounding the new elite investigative corps. Career advancement within the police has been recalibrated around centralized investigation and intelligence work, embedding surveillance-oriented policing at the apex of institutional ambition. This was not accidental. It was design.
The resurrection of the police Information Division completes the picture. Officially abolished in 2024 after decades of criticism over political surveillance, the division returned quietly but extensively: 1,424 officers redeployed across 198 police stations nationwide. The stated rationale was operational failure—intelligence lapses exposed by a high-profile kidnapping case in Cambodia. Yet the response was not narrow correction but wholesale revival. To blunt public backlash, the units were rebranded as “Cooperation Officers,” a cosmetic fix meant to sanitize a historically toxic function. Interior Ministry assurances that there would be “no spying” were paired with a telling caveat: oversight would remain internal.
What emerges from these reforms is not democratized law enforcement but a fused apparatus of investigation, intelligence, and enforcement—a “mega-police” state. Authority now flows through Police Review Boards and the National Police Commission, bodies structurally tethered to the executive. The old prosecutorial monopoly has been replaced by something more opaque: a police force that gathers intelligence, controls investigations, and reviews itself, all within a single bureaucratic ecosystem.
Defenders argue that this merely ends prosecutorial abuse. But the cure may be worse than the disease. Prosecutors, for all their pathologies, were constrained by courts, adversarial procedure, and public visibility. Police power, by contrast, is front-loaded with surveillance—communications metadata, financial tracking, informant networks, digital monitoring. When such tools are deployed at scale across elections, corruption, and national security, the boundary between crime control and political management erodes rapidly.
The danger here is structural, not conspiratorial. Under a presidency burdened by ongoing legal exposure, the incentives for politicized enforcement need not be explicit. Anticipatory compliance—investigators intuiting the preferences of those who control budgets, promotions, and jurisdiction—does the work quietly. Abuse does not require orders; it emerges organically.
South Korea did not slide into a surveillance state through tanks in the streets. It arrived there through reform bills, staffing tables, and administrative fixes to elite crisis. In dismantling one illiberal institution, Lee Jae-myung’s government constructed another—larger, less transparent, and harder to challenge. What he governs today is not merely a country under a cloud, but a security architecture optimized for governing under one.
Die Europäische Zentralbank (EZB) hat bei ihrer heutigen Ratssitzung entschieden, das Zinsniveau unverändert zu lassen. Dazu eine Einschätzung von Marcel Fratzscher, Präsident des Deutschen Instituts für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW Berlin):
Die EZB hat heute die Zinsen erwartungsgemäß bei 2,0 Prozent belassen – das ist in der derzeitigen Situation die richtige Entscheidung. Der Einlagenzins befindet sich auf einem Niveau, das die Wirtschaft weder bremst noch überhitzt. Die Unsicherheit infolge des Iran-Kriegs und des Energiepreisschocks ließ weder Raum für eine Zinserhöhung noch für eine Senkung – beides wäre verfrüht gewesen.
Die EZB könnte in den kommenden Monaten in ein Dilemma der Stagflation geraten: Steigende Energiepreise treiben die Inflation nach oben, während sich die Konjunktur stark abschwächt. Europa ist strukturell anfälliger für Energiepreisschocks als die USA. Die Kommunikation der EZB zeigt jedoch, dass sie die Risiken vor Verwerfungen für die europäische Wirtschaft ernster nehmen muss.
Gleichzeitig kann die EZB mit einer Zinserhöhung wenig gegen einen externen Angebotsschock ausrichten. Ihr bleibt keine andere Wahl, als eine höhere Inflation ein Stück weit zu akzeptieren. Entscheidend wird eine weiterhin gute Verankerung der Inflationserwartungen sein. Sollten Zweitrundeneffekte – steigende Löhne, höhere Margen der Unternehmen – die Inflation weiter nach oben treiben, muss die EZB entschlossen reagieren.
Eine Reihe von Skandalen in der Ukraine hat gezeigt, dass der russische Angriffskrieg der Korruption im Land kein Ende gesetzt hat. Auch wenn die Institutionen zu ihrer Bekämpfung eine wichtige Rolle spielen, ist Korruption in der Ukraine nach wie vor Symptom eines Governance-Modells, das den Anforderungen von Rechtsstaatlichkeit noch nicht genügt. Die Schwierigkeiten, die mit einer fundamentalen Überwindung dieses Modells einhergehen, werden oft unterschätzt. Eine solche Transformation wird für den Beitritt der Ukraine zur EU jedoch notwendig sein. Sowohl Kyjiw als auch Brüssel werden gleichzeitig an verschiedenen Strängen arbeiten müssen, um Rechtsstaatlichkeit in der Ukraine zu festigen.