Diplomacy & Crisis News

Even the most limited form of people-to-people contact, which in the past was treated as a confidence-building measure, is now being met with outrage and political exploitation.

« L'Occident est prêt à tout pour préserver ce système néocolonial qui lui permet de parasiter, de dépouiller en substance le monde au prix de la puissance du dollar et du diktat technologique, de percevoir un véritable tribut de l'humanité, d'extraire la principale source de richesse non méritée, la (...) / États-Unis, Europe, Russie, Crise des valeurs, Géopolitique, Identité culturelle, Impérialisme, Relations internationales - 2022/11

Geedge Networks has commercialized China’s Great Firewall for export, and Astana was an ideal customer.

It's another worrying sign that the Trump administration is shifting its military strategy away from deterrence – and increasing the likelihood of nuclear war.

L'invasion de l'Ukraine par la Russie a provoqué une déflagration parmi les intellectuels dont l'espace postsoviétique est le centre d'intérêt, mettant en question l'orientation d'une œuvre, voire d'une vie. Grand traducteur de la littérature russe, André Markowicz veut espérer que le choc de la guerre (...) / Russie, Ukraine, Conflit, Géopolitique, Histoire, Impérialisme, Nationalisme, Politique, Relations internationales, Relations bilatérales - 2022/11

Hungary may be the first U.S. ally in Europe for whom decoupling from China is not simply difficult, but virtually impossible.

From modest beginnings, India has now built one of the world’s largest renewable energy markets, with solar leading the way.

North Korea’s hawkish statements over the annual military drills will likely work as justification for upcoming missile tests.

The fundamental question remains whether this revolution will produce genuine systemic change or fade into another cycle of instability.

In addition to the increasing frequency and complexity of naval cooperation, India and the EU are growing closer politically.

The recent youth-dominated protests in Indonesia brought forth a surge of support from young people across the region.

“It always starts with trilateral cooperation, and it often ends the same way – chaos, power grabs, and foreign money trying to fix the mess.”

With significant lithium, copper, cobalt, nickel, zircon, and beryllium deposits, Pakistan’s untapped mineral wealth is estimated to be worth $6 trillion.

The influx of new state-of-the-art aircraft over the remainder of the decade will complete the “progressive drawdown” of the RSAF’s ageing F-16 fleet.

Washington still has significant leverage over China, North Korea, and Russia.

Trump risks repeating the mistakes of the “War on Terror”.

During September 11-13, the Philippines, Japan, and the United States took part in a "maritime cooperation activity" inside the Philippines' exclusive economic zone.

While nuclear energy is the best means of avoiding climate catastrophe, many remain irrationally terrified of its risks.

Image Credits: Energy Industry Review

Strategic Partnership with the Cook Islands as a Small Step to The Blue Energy Revolution

 

On August 4, 2025—marking the 60th anniversary of the Cook Islands’ self-governing status—the United States secured a landmark bilateral agreement that fundamentally reshapes Pacific geopolitics. This strategic partnership grants U.S. companies prioritized access to seabed mineral exploration across the Cook Islands’ expansive 1.9 million square kilometer Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ), while ensuring the islands maintain sovereign control over marine stewardship—a crucial balance that demonstrates American respect for partner autonomy.

The timing reveals masterful strategic calculation. Beijing’s 2024 agreement with the Cook Islands for seabed mineral exploration rights had triggered urgent reassessment in Washington. Rather than ceding this critical territory to Chinese influence, the new U.S. partnership represents a swift, decisive competitive response that transforms potential strategic loss into American advantage in the expanding Pacific theater.

The deep ocean floor within the Cook Islands’ EEZ harbors vast deposits of polymetallic nodules rich in nickel, cobalt, and manganese—critical minerals that power what experts recognize as the emerging ‘Blue Energy Revolution.’ This paradigm transcends traditional green technologies anchored to terrestrial renewable energy, instead harnessing the ocean’s vast untapped potential through breakthrough marine applications: offshore renewable energy systems, advanced maritime technologies, and sustainable undersea infrastructure that position America at the forefront of next-generation resource development.

Recent technological advances showcase American innovation leadership through sophisticated remotely operated subsea vehicles and cutting-edge offshore processing vessels. These systems create integrated vertical transport networks connecting seabed operations with surface facilities—an industrial value chain that promises to revolutionize critical mineral extraction while maintaining significantly lower environmental footprints than conventional terrestrial mining. The Cook Islands agreement strategically leverages this technological superiority, emphasizing rigorous scientific research, robust environmental safeguards, and technological cooperation to ensure transparent, responsible resource management that protects marine ecosystems while driving sustainable economic development.

From Green to Blue: A Unifying Western Narrative of Transregional Pacific Governance Framework

 

This bilateral partnership strategically builds upon America’s broader Pacific engagement initiatives, demonstrating sophisticated multilayered diplomacy. In September 2023, the United States joined the Pacific Islands Forum—representing island nations across 41 million square kilometers of ocean—to champion a unified commitment to a “free and open Indo-Pacific.” This framework embodies transregional governance excellence, where U.S. allies and partners coordinate seamlessly across vast maritime spaces to ensure lasting peace, enhanced security, climate resilience, and sustainable economic growth that benefits all partners.

The forum’s joint statement directly addressed countering “malign influences”—diplomatic language universally understood as strategic concern over China’s aggressive regional expansion. It called for strengthened maritime governance and ocean conservation cooperation, successfully uniting island nations around shared principles of sovereignty and sustainability. This approach demonstrates American leadership by transcending traditional multilateralism, integrating fisheries management, ocean surveillance, maritime law enforcement, and environmental standards into a comprehensive strategic framework that maximizes collective security and prosperity.

Pacific island communities, whose economies depend fundamentally on ocean health and productivity, had found traditional “green economy” rhetoric—focused primarily on terrestrial ecosystems and carbon reduction—inadequate for their maritime realities. The emerging “blue economy” concept directly addresses these needs by emphasizing sustainable ocean resource utilization: fisheries, marine renewable energy, seabed minerals, and marine biotechnology, while prioritizing ocean health, community resilience, and equitable economic opportunity that resonates with Pacific values and American interests.

This maritime-centered narrative has proven remarkably effective at fostering Western coalition strength and unity. The European Union has committed over €350 million to Pacific blue economy projects by 2030, supporting sustainable fisheries, ocean conservation, and clean marine energy development that complements American initiatives. Australia and Japan have similarly realigned their Pacific strategies around blue economy principles, creating unprecedented Western coordination that strengthens collective bargaining power against Chinese economic coercion.

World Bank projections confidently estimate the global blue economy will reach $3 trillion annually by 2030. The Pacific region, containing the world’s largest combined EEZs, stands positioned to dominate this economic transformation—provided governance and sustainability challenges are successfully addressed through American leadership and technological innovation.

Pacific Ocean Resources: Wealth and Vulnerability

 

The Pacific Ocean’s 63 million square miles contain extraordinary mineral and biological wealth that represents both immense opportunity and strategic vulnerability. The Clarion-Clipperton Zone (CCZ), spanning 4.5 million square kilometers between Hawaii and Mexico, holds approximately 21.1 billion dry tonnes of polymetallic nodules containing cobalt, nickel, manganese, and rare earth elements essential for blue technologies powering battery storage and offshore renewables—resources critical to American technological supremacy and energy independence.

Despite the International Seabed Authority administering 17 exploration contracts covering 75,000 square kilometers within the CCZ, commercial mining remains suspended due to regulatory deliberations and environmental concerns that create opportunities for American leadership in establishing responsible extraction standards. Policymakers must skillfully balance immense economic potential against manageable risks including seabed disturbance and biodiversity loss, positioning the United States as the global leader in sustainable deep-sea resource development.

Beyond mineral wealth, the Pacific supports 60 percent of global tuna catch, generating over $10 billion annually in trade value while providing critical protein sources for 12 million Pacific island residents and hundreds of millions worldwide. Pacific coral reefs, covering 25 percent of global reef areas and harboring 30 percent of marine biodiversity, support essential fisheries, tourism, and natural climate resilience infrastructure. These ecosystems face mounting challenges from overfishing, illegal fishing fleets, climate-induced bleaching, and ocean acidification—threats that American technology and environmental leadership can effectively address while strengthening regional partnerships.

The U.S.-Cook Islands partnership thus represents far more than bilateral cooperation—it signals comprehensive Western strategy to secure sustainable ocean resource development while systematically countering Chinese expansion in this strategically vital region. Through technological superiority, environmental stewardship, and genuine partnership, America has positioned itself to lead the blue energy revolution while offering Pacific nations a compelling alternative to Chinese debt-trap diplomacy.

The EAC (East African Community) Global Connect Summit and Expo 2025 will be held August 19-21 in Nairobi, focusing on “Unlocking East Africa Community Markets to Global Business Avenues through Enhanced Trade Collaboration.”

Media narratives about the Global South often center on India and Brazil, portraying them as regional hegemonic powers and key patrons of neighboring economies. While this framing captures part of the story, it overlooks other emerging leaders. Africa—widely seen as a potential future hub of the Global South—is undergoing a dynamic transformation. According to the African Development Bank Group’s 2025 African Economic Outlook, Africa’s economy is projected to accelerate from 3.3 percent growth in 2024 to 3.9 percent in 2025, and to 4.0 percent in 2026, despite global economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions. East Africa leads this momentum with an estimated 5.9 percent growth rate, driven by resilient economies such as Kenya, Ethiopia, Rwanda, and Tanzania. In 2025, 21 African countries are expected to surpass 5 percent growth, with Ethiopia, Niger, Rwanda, and Senegal potentially reaching the critical 7 percent threshold for substantial poverty reduction and inclusive development. This robust performance places Africa ahead of the global average, making it the second-fastest growing region after emerging Asia.

Yet the BRICS-centric framing of the Global South often obscures the role of rising African actors, creating challenges for U.S. leadership. To align the broader Global South with U.S. strategic interests, Washington must intentionally support and nurture these emerging African nations—an approach that reflects shifting multipolar realities and positions the United States as a key partner in building a more inclusive and balanced global order.

Evolving U.S. Engagement in Africa, with East Africa at the Forefront

In recent years, U.S. engagement in Africa has shifted from a primarily aid-focused approach to one emphasizing trade, investment, and private-sector-led growth. The Trump administration’s Bureau of African Affairs Commercial Diplomacy Strategy, launched in 2025, exemplifies this transition by prioritizing commercial diplomacy over traditional aid. Within its first 100 days, the initiative facilitated 33 deals worth more than $6 billion, effectively integrating U.S. business interests with Africa’s expanding economic potential.

East Africa has emerged as a central focus of this strategy, owing to its strategic location along the Indian Ocean—a key maritime route—and its blend of political stability and economic integration. Countries like Kenya, Ethiopia, Rwanda, and Tanzania are driving regional growth that surpasses the continental average, supported by substantial infrastructure investments, market reforms, and a growing middle class.

Even more, U.S. and East African relations have strengthened in the energy sector. The U.S.-Africa Energy Forum, held on August 7–8, 2025, in Houston, successfully connected U.S. investors with Africa’s rapidly growing energy market. Strategic partnerships with organizations such as the African Energy Chamber and African Energy Week granted American companies direct access to licensing rounds, LNG projects, deepwater exploration, and large-scale renewable energy initiatives. With Africa’s 2025 energy capital expenditures projected between $43 and $47 billion, this forum positioned U.S. firms to capitalize on substantial investment opportunities.

Building on this growing closeness between the U.S. and East Africa, momentum will continue with the EAC (East African Community) Global Connect Summit and Expo 2025, scheduled for August 19–21 in Nairobi. As East Africa’s economic powerhouse, Kenya is playing a leading role in advancing the EAC’s economic integration. This landmark event, themed “Unlocking EAC Markets to Global Business Avenues through Enhanced Trade Collaboration,” is expected to attract over 6,000 visitors, 2,000 delegates, and 400 companies from the region and beyond. The summit aims to expand intra-regional trade, attract foreign investment across agriculture, energy, technology, and tourism sectors, and foster public-private partnerships to further strengthen East Africa’s position as a vibrant economic hub.

Strengthening People-to-People Economic Ties

Beyond official initiatives, deepening people-to-people economic links between the U.S. and East Africa offers a powerful but underappreciated means of engagement. The growing African American middle class has nurtured a financially empowered diaspora increasingly investing in and relocating to East African nations such as Kenya.

Recent reports point to a surge in African American migration to Kenya, motivated not only by cultural and ancestral ties but also by opportunities in entrepreneurship, real estate, and technology. While media coverage often focuses on U.S. political and social controversies, these diaspora communities serve as important economic and cultural bridges—facilitating trade, investment, and exchange.

The U.S. government could integrate these connections into a broader investment-driven strategy. By expanding diaspora-focused funds and incentives, Washington could direct private capital toward sustainable growth projects in East Africa, reinforcing its diplomatic objectives. With remittances to sub-Saharan Africa exceeding $85 billion in recent years—outpacing foreign direct investment and official development assistance—policies that harness these flows could significantly strengthen economic integration and U.S. influence.

East Africa Aligned with U.S. Interests as a Future Linchpin of the Global South

Envision a Global South where East African economies—closely aligned with U.S. strategic interests—take on a central role, moving beyond a narrative historically dominated by India and Brazil. Emerging East African nations possess significant potential to assert their own agency, serving both as reliable partners and strategic counterbalances to other regional powers. By nurturing robust economic and diplomatic partnerships with East Africa, the United States can help shape a Global South where East African countries become pivotal players driving stability, shared prosperity, and a more balanced international order in the decades to come.