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Diplomacy & Crisis News

Welcome to the Ides of March

Foreign Policy Blogs - Mon, 10/03/2025 - 20:19

Tariffs have now been applied on Mexico, Canada and additionally on China by the United States. The recent tariff news seemed to have not been expected in Canada, despite it being a top local news story over the past few months. In Mexico, the President’s daily briefings detail how actions to prevent tariffs are now seen as fruitless and demotivating in addressing common issues for both countries. Whether the recent news of tariffs will remain as a long term policy, or whether it can be bargained away for another month will be an answered in time. The focus on North American trade will always be tied in with security however, and all trade and relations will be taken in the light of community safety.

Responding to tariffs by tying trade policy in North America with the US response to Ukraine is likely best left for Europe. Any resolutions from the US-Ukraine negotiations will resolve themselves apart from North America. Including Ukraine as a policy issue in challenging the US will linger after their spat has ended, to the detriment of Canada’s and Mexico’s negotiating team. Actions to remove the burden of local taxes and restrictions inside each of their separate economies should come with an expansion of infrastructure to increase trade and development, costs that equal and often exceed foreign tariffs. While the pre-NAFTA era allowed both Canada and Mexico to operate in a healthy economic environment with tariffs in place, each country should do their utmost to keep their economy strong, and work to the benefit of their own population.

Ignoring safety and security as an issue in the new tariff era will never result in a resolution for ending tariffs. While robust actions against cartel issues have taken shape in Mexico, the enormity of the issue will not have a simple solution. As for the northern border, using statistics to manage expectations when there is continual evidence of an ongoing problem demonstrates little effort to eliminate a problem when acknowledgment is suppressed in discussions. In reality, safety and security issues do not simply harm American citizens, but is a major issue within communities in Mexico and in Canada. As someone who has connections with both countries, it is evident living in many communities.

Have the relations between Azerbaijan and Russia deteriorated?

Foreign Policy Blogs - Fri, 28/02/2025 - 17:07

In recent years, diplomatic relations between Azerbaijan and Russia have been decent for the most part, with cooperation in various fields. Although Azerbaijan is an ally of the West and Russia is an ally of Armenia, neither country in recent years has let this interfere with having a positive diplomatic relationship. However, recently, the two countries seem to be speaking different languages. Azerbaijan and Russia have been tense with each other lately due to several events that led to a diplomatic crisis. It seems that everything began with the downing of an Azerbaijani plane by a Russian missile, which killed 38 people and injured 29 others.

When a country causes the death of so many citizens of another country (even if accidentally and without malice) and does not apologize for it, it creates cracks even in the closest of relationships. However, when the two countries are just partners and not allies, the damage caused by such an action is even greater and Azerbaijani-Russian relations have not recovered since. Initially, after the crash, Russian officials denied the event had even occurred and later tried to cover up the details and the reason Russia attacked the Azerbaijani plane.

After the crash, and as the cloud of uncertainty began to lift in Azerbaijan, Ilham Aliyev demanded an apology from Russia for this tragedy. In contrast to the Azerbaijanis, the Russians were unwilling to make public statements, let alone admit a mistake, and refused to apologize. Although an apology was eventually issued (after insistence from the President of Azerbaijan), this unfortunate incident left lasting scars and undermined trust between the countries.

Azerbaijan’s trust in Russia was so shaken by this event that the Azerbaijanis could not just sit by and leave the situation as it was. They realized that Russia was much stronger than Azerbaijan in terms of its media power. In the tragedy of the Azerbaijani plane crash, Russia began spreading lies loudly, denying its involvement in the incident—a move not typical of an ally. Therefore, Azerbaijan decided to weaken Russia’s media influence and simultaneously strengthen its own, aiming to create parity between the two countries in this field, as well as in diplomacy and humanitarian representation.

As a practical step, Azerbaijan decided to match the number of journalists from the Russian news agency “Russia Today” operating within its borders to the number of journalists from the Azerbaijani news agency “Azertag” working in Russia, which currently stands at just one. Additionally, Azerbaijan decided to shut down the “Russian House” in Baku, also known as “Rossotrudnichestvo,” which has been another point of contention in the relations between the two countries. The “Russian House” was established in 1925 by the Soviet Union’s security services and supposedly aimed to promote Russian culture and language in various countries. In practice, the “Russian House” served as a cover for Russian intelligence activities and the creation of a local network of contacts for Russia in a covert manner.

Not only did Azerbaijan close the “Russian House” operating on its territory, but other countries, such as France, Denmark, Estonia, Croatia, Poland, and many others, have done the same. The Danish newspaper “Information” expressed the issue: “The ‘Russian House’ in Denmark, presented as a center of science and culture, has served as a cover for Russian intelligence for many years. Journalists who examined photo and video materials of events held here have identified some of the expelled spies.” Azerbaijan openly declared that the closure of the “Russian House” was intended to protect its national interests.

Alongside the diplomatic crisis unfolding between the two countries, and perhaps as a result of it, there have been claims of discrimination and threats against Azerbaijani citizens living in Russia. After Russia began tightening its immigration laws, especially the Azerbaijani residents of Russia felt the intensification of the regime’s attitude toward immigrants. The pressure on the Azerbaijanis only grew, especially after various Russian entities, including Russian Telegram channels, painted a false image suggesting that only Azerbaijani migrants live in Russia.

 Even Azerbaijanis with Russian citizenship became targets. “Surprisingly,” the whole process of “Azerbaijani hatred” in Russia began after the closure of the “Russian House” in Baku. Responses in Russia included economic threats and anti-Azerbaijani statements from politicians and public figures. Azerbaijan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs condemned the remarks made by Nikolai Valuev, Deputy Chairman of the Russian State Duma’s Tourism Committee, which included hate speech and threats toward Azerbaijan, and in addition, Valuev’s entry into Azerbaijan was banned.

There were also threats from Russian figures, such as Telegram channels controlled by the government, to revive separatist ethnic organizations in Azerbaijan, such as the “Sadval” organization, which had previously promoted separatist ideas among minority groups. Azerbaijan is well aware of Russia’s attempts to create ethnic conflicts and use separatism as a weapon against other countries. In the past, Russia supported separatists in Karabakh and the creation of the fictional “Talysh-Mugan Republic”.

For Azerbaijan, Russia has been a partner in recent years, but since the tragedy of the Azerbaijani passenger plane, something has changed. Azerbaijan must be cautious, know who its friends are, and always stay vigilant. If Russia has begun threatening the use of separatist forces in Azerbaijan, who can guarantee that Russia will not cooperate with Iran against Azerbaijan? The relations between these two countries are important, but the lives of Azerbaijanis are more important.

Yes, America Is Europe’s Enemy Now

Foreign Policy - Fri, 21/02/2025 - 08:59
The Trump administration has gone way past revising the transatlantic alliance.

Why No One Is Winning in Ukraine

Foreign Affairs - Fri, 21/02/2025 - 06:00
Technological change has produced a surprising stalemate.

In Assad’s Fall, an Echo of the Arab Spring

Foreign Affairs - Fri, 21/02/2025 - 06:00
A reminder—including for Syria’s new rulers—that tyranny ultimately fails.

China’s Self-Defeating Strategy

Foreign Affairs - Fri, 21/02/2025 - 06:00
Power projection once made empires—now it can undo them.

What It Means for Europe to Go It Alone

Foreign Policy - Fri, 21/02/2025 - 00:15
Europe and NATO are facing an existential crisis as the Trump administration aims a wrecking ball at trans-Atlantic relations.

Where Does the U.S.-Ukraine Rare-Earth Deal Stand?

Foreign Policy - Fri, 21/02/2025 - 00:15
The prospect of an agreement looks increasingly uncertain.

Rubio Skips G-20 Over South Africa’s Land Ownership, Israel Policies

Foreign Policy - Thu, 20/02/2025 - 23:33
The secretary of state’s absence reflects deteriorating U.S.-South Africa relations as well as the Trump administration’s disdain for global institutions.

Rubio Snubs G-20 Foreign Ministers’ Meeting in South Africa

Foreign Policy - Thu, 20/02/2025 - 23:32
The secretary of state’s absence reflects deteriorating U.S.-South Africa relations as well as the Trump administration’s disdain for global institutions.

Trump’s Europe Shock Creates an Opening for China

Foreign Policy - Thu, 20/02/2025 - 22:54
Beijing could provide an economic lifeline as EU countries increase defense spending and weather tariffs.

A Grand Bargain With Russia Would Be a Disaster

Foreign Policy - Thu, 20/02/2025 - 18:20
Trump thinks he can follow in Nixon’s footsteps.

Germany’s New 1990s Chancellor

Foreign Policy - Thu, 20/02/2025 - 16:29
The fall and rise of Friedrich Merz.

It’s Time for Syria’s Kurds to Fold

Foreign Policy - Thu, 20/02/2025 - 15:26
Kurdish autonomy is a problem that today’s Syria can’t afford.

Sudan’s Army Is Part of the Problem, Not the Solution

Foreign Policy - Thu, 20/02/2025 - 14:40
The SAF is not a defender of democracy, and the activists joining its ranks are doing so out of necessity rather than ideology.

The AI Economy’s Massive Vulnerability

Foreign Policy - Thu, 20/02/2025 - 12:00
Subsea cables channel data and power, but they face escalating risks.

Musk Is Still a Courtier

Foreign Affairs - Thu, 20/02/2025 - 06:00
The mogul’s influence is unprecedented, but Trump remains in charge.

The Real China Trump Card

Foreign Affairs - Thu, 20/02/2025 - 06:00
The hawk’s case against decoupling.

In Germany, the Center Can Hold

Foreign Affairs - Thu, 20/02/2025 - 06:00
But only a grand coalition can foster stability and fend off the far right.

Trump Trades Barbs With Zelensky

Foreign Policy - Wed, 19/02/2025 - 23:46
The two leaders’ war of words has triggered a breakdown in U.S.-Ukraine relations.

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